w831

Predicting since Mar 202627 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech	Yes	$80	76¢	87¢	+$12
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Politics	Yes	$50	43¢	62¢	+$21
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$27	27¢	29¢	+$2
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics	No	$20	78¢	82¢	+$1
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Politics	Under	$10	59¢	59¢	+$0
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech	Yes	$10	53¢	52¢	-$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	68¢	64¢	-$1
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?Politics	Yes	$10	55¢	50¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	30¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	35¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Politics	YesResolved	$5	66¢	0.0¢	-$5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$13	44¢	0.0¢	-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	33¢	0.0¢	-$2

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$52

Politics+$15

Crypto-$12

Biggest hit

+$20

Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?

Toughest beat

-$18

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Bought Yes · Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$615h ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$316h ago
Sold No · Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$376h ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?$16h ago
Bought Yes · Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$2810h ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?$1210h ago
Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$516h ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$1016h ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$1016h ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$1016h ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$2016h ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?$1016h ago