← Whale Watch

risk-manager

Predicting since Oct 2024851 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15.6M on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $45K across 16 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.9M on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$28K81¢87¢+$2.4K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$26K89¢80¢-$2.6K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$34K31¢20¢-$13K
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$16K0.8¢0.9¢+$1.0K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$12K84¢88¢+$560
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$10K51¢51¢-$102
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$8.3K83¢86¢+$250
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechNo$7.6K80¢88¢+$740
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechYes$5.7K88¢85¢-$197
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechNo$5.1K84¢82¢-$147
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$4.4K89¢93¢+$223
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1.9K19¢44¢+$2.4K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.4K75¢88¢+$563
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.0K0.1¢0.1¢+$519
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.5K45¢45¢-$17
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.8K15¢7.5¢-$1.4K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?TechNo$1.3K88¢95¢+$106
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechYes$1.4K70¢67¢-$65
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1.3K0.1¢0.1¢-$56
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1.3K84¢66¢-$296
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.4K0.6¢0.3¢-$1.4K
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.2K0.6¢0.4¢-$490
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$83083¢57¢-$255
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechNo$33066¢81¢+$73
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$3360.8¢0.9¢+$42
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?TechAnthropic$30267¢78¢+$50
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2498.0¢9.5¢+$47
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$34523¢20¢-$52
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1.1K0.2¢0.1¢-$839
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2440.4¢0.4¢+$31
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1820.4¢0.4¢+$23
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$16349¢51¢+$5
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$890.8¢0.9¢+$17
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1070.4¢0.4¢-$2
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoNo$12080¢54¢-$40
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$10015¢12¢-$21
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1070.4¢0.3¢-$32
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$11073¢49¢-$36
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1070.4¢0.1¢-$62
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1070.4¢0.1¢-$62
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1070.4¢0.1¢-$62
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1070.4¢0.1¢-$62
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$170.6¢0.9¢+$7
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.3¢-$7
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$40.6¢1.7¢+$8
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$240.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$70.8¢1.1¢+$3
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40.6¢0.3¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$15.6M
NFL+$182K
Weather+$23K
Crypto+$15K
Formula 1+$9.8K
NBA+$8.1K
Finance+$3.6K
World Cup-$3.6K
Culture+$2.7K
Cricket-$2.6K
eSports+$1.9K
Tech+$1.5K
Biggest hit
+$3.9M
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$169K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$029s ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$05m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$05m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$012m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$012m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$017m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$337m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$043m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$047m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$050m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$052m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$055m ago