← Whale Watch

GonTanaka

Predicting since Nov 2025283 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.9K on Tech markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $10K riding on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026.

Biggest hit: +$8.5K on Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$10K92¢96¢+$440
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K91¢94¢+$25
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$50692¢100¢+$44
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$50493¢96¢+$15
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$46091¢96¢+$25
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$44697¢100¢+$13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$34687¢92¢+$20
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?CultureNo$25189¢90¢+$3
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$17396¢98¢+$4
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$12684¢85¢+$2
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$10070¢80¢+$14
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsYes$11570¢69¢-$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9687¢94¢+$7
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$10187¢88¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$8686¢99¢+$13
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$8383¢91¢+$8
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$7171¢74¢+$4
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?CultureYes$6183¢84¢+$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$5163¢64¢+$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$2655¢93¢+$18
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$3170¢85¢+$7
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?PoliticsNo$1989¢90¢+$0
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$946¢56¢+$2
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureNo$643¢45¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$9.9K
Crypto+$1.1K
Politics-$599
World Cup-$567
Culture-$114
Mentions+$85
Weather+$83
UFC / MMA+$63
Tennis-$19
Champions League-$3
Soccer (other)+$2
Cricket+$2
Biggest hit
+$8.5K
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Toughest beat
-$1.6K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?$153m ago
  • Sold No · José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$619h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$213h ago
  • Sold No · Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?$9016h ago
  • Bought No · Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?$1918h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$222h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$222h ago
  • Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$201d ago
  • Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$151d ago
  • Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$111d ago
  • Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$11d ago
  • Bought No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$41d ago