Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$76 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$27 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.4K | 70¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $803 | 40¢ | 61¢ | +$407 |
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $1.0K | 45¢ | 51¢ | +$121 |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $930 | 46¢ | 56¢ | +$180 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $800 | 40¢ | 47¢ | +$149 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $534 | 53¢ | 95¢ | +$414 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $650 | 65¢ | 95¢ | +$295 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $480 | 48¢ | 94¢ | +$455 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $820 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$15 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $960 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$150 |
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Weather | No | $672 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$107 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $740 | 74¢ | 72¢ | -$25 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $590 | 59¢ | 71¢ | +$115 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $817 | 41¢ | 31¢ | -$207 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $410 | 41¢ | 55¢ | +$135 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | -$602 |
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Politics | No | $1.3K | 43¢ | 17¢ | -$790 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $310 | 31¢ | 50¢ | +$185 |
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $520 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$80 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $621 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$254 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $360 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$30 |
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Politics | No | $1.9K | 23¢ | 3.1¢ | -$1.6K |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $868 | 33¢ | 9.2¢ | -$629 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Finance | No | $171 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$17 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $166 | 55¢ | 62¢ | +$18 |
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Politics | No | $1.0K | 12¢ | 0.9¢ | -$955 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $76 | 58¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $370 | 18¢ | 2.9¢ | -$311 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $49 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$5 |
LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $168 | 8.4¢ | 1.5¢ | -$139 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $620 | 15¢ | 0.7¢ | -$594 |
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Politics | No | $598 | 8.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$580 |
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $50 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $700 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$700 |
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Politics | YesResolved | $866 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$866 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3.6K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.6K |
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?Weather | NoResolved | $558 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$558 |
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $220 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Politics | YesResolved | $124 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $850 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$850 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $220 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffseSports | TEAM VISIONResolved | $722 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$722 |
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?Mentions | YesResolved | $48 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $205 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $124 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $2.3K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $220 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
Epstein client list released by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $400 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $2.3K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1.7K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $160 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?Politics | NoResolved | $370 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$370 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $420 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$420 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $358 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$358 |
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $60 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Politics | YesResolved | $344 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$344 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $299 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$299 |
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $3.1K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Politics | YesResolved | $164 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2.5K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?Economy | YesResolved | $540 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$540 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Boxing | NoResolved | $508 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$508 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $260 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$260 |
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $500 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $409 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$409 |
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $128 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Boxing | NoResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $113 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $252 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$252 |
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?Boxing | YesResolved | $40 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $412 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$412 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?Culture | NoResolved | $1.2K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Google say "Token" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $209 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$209 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $62 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Politics | YesResolved | $480 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$480 |
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1.8K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $382 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$382 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $420 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$420 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $310 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$310 |
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?Tech | NoResolved | $84 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $192 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$192 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.7K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Politics | YesResolved | $155 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Politics | NoResolved | $367 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$367 |
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?Weather | YesResolved | $250 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $170 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $819 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$819 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Finance | NoResolved | $954 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$954 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $90 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Boxing | NoResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |