 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 35¢ | 63¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 53¢ | 93¢ | +$790 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $100 | 10¢ | 99¢ | +$888 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $480 | 48¢ | 92¢ | +$435 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Weather | No | $672 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$16 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $621 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$56 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $310 | 31¢ | 47¢ | +$160 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $166 | 55¢ | 32¢ | -$72 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $201 | 6.7¢ | 1.1¢ | -$167 |
 Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $50 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $700 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$700 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Politics | YesResolved | $866 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$866 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3.6K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.6K |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?Weather | NoResolved | $534 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$534 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $220 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Politics | YesResolved | $124 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $850 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$850 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $220 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
 Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?Mentions | YesResolved | $48 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $189 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $124 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $2.2K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $220 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $400 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
 Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $2.3K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $160 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?Politics | NoResolved | $370 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$370 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $420 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$420 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $322 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$322 |
 Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $60 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Politics | YesResolved | $344 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$344 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $299 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$299 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $3.1K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Politics | YesResolved | $164 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2.5K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?Economy | YesResolved | $540 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$540 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Boxing | NoResolved | $508 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$508 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $260 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$260 |
 Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $409 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$409 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $128 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Boxing | NoResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $113 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
 Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $252 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$252 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?Boxing | YesResolved | $40 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $412 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$412 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?Culture | NoResolved | $1.2K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Google say "Token" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $209 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$209 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $56 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Politics | YesResolved | $480 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$480 |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1.8K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $382 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$382 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $310 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$310 |
 Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?Tech | NoResolved | $84 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $192 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$192 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.7K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Politics | YesResolved | $155 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Politics | NoResolved | $367 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$367 |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?Weather | YesResolved | $232 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$232 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $170 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
 Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $819 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$819 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $90 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Boxing | NoResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $440 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$440 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $595 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$595 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $362 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$362 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Boxing | NoResolved | $219 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$219 |
| Will Trump say "Nine Wars" or "Ninth War" in February?Mentions | NoResolved | $124 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?Politics | YesResolved | $88 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $672 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$672 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $260 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$260 |
 Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $86 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $244 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$244 |
 Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?Culture | YesResolved | $520 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$520 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $80 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.8K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | YesResolved | $885 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$885 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $328 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$328 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $210 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $440 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$440 |
| Will Google say "Flash" or "Flash-Lite" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $17 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Politics | YesResolved | $940 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$940 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $91 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $760 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$760 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $224 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$224 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $800 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$800 |
 Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $4.0K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.0K |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $553 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$553 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $335 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$335 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $240 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
 Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Politics | YesResolved | $476 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$476 |
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$2603d ago