← Whale Watch

asfdt22

Predicting since Feb 2026385 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say “Tampon Tim” by February 28?MentionsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$03.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
North Korea missile launch by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?EconomyNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$32.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?CultureNoResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?TechYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$31.5¢0.0¢-$3
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?CryptoYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?PoliticsNoResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Military action against Iran ends by March 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Deel IPO by March 31?FinanceYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?PoliticsYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Tim Walz in jail by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
SAVE America Act becomes law by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump's remarks not air?MentionsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Adolescence: The Making of Adolescence win Best Short-Form Program at the 37th PGA Awards?CultureNoResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 8-11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?TechYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?CultureYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?TechYesResolved$40.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?TechYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?TechYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?World CupYesResolved$02.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?CultureYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Daddy" in February?MentionsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump sue Michael Wolff by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?EconomyNoResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Nipah virus in US by March 31?TechYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Big Fat Cat" in March?MentionsYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?CultureYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?PoliticsYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
House passes Iran war powers resolution this week?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say “Rocket Man” by February 28?MentionsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?CultureYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$30.6¢0.0¢-$3
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Weed rescheduled by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate primary be 2,000,000 voters or greater?PoliticsNoResolved$02.5¢0.0¢-$0
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Stefon Diggs in jail by March 31?NFLYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Honduras presidential election annulled by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?CryptoNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 4-7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$70
Tech-$28
NFL-$7
Culture-$7
Crypto-$6
Mentions-$4
Finance-$4
Economy+$2
eSports-$1
Golf+$1
College Hoops-$1
World Cup-$0
Biggest hit
+$28
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$9
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$03mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$03mo ago