← Whale Watch

thiswithcigarettes

Predicting since Feb 2024205 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $7.5K on Politics markets since Feb 2024.

Right now: $1.5K riding on Blue Jays vs. Orioles.

Biggest hit: +$2.7K on Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?MentionsYesResolved$2725¢0.0¢-$27
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Philippines President events on July 22?MentionsNoResolved$7770¢0.0¢-$77
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Philippines President events on July 22?MentionsYesResolved$40075¢0.0¢-$400
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?PoliticsYesResolved$48619¢0.0¢-$486
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$3518¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump say "Crime" 10+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?MentionsNoResolved$15726¢0.0¢-$157
Will JD Vance say "Ass" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?MentionsYesResolved$9724¢0.0¢-$97
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?MentionsNoResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsYesResolved$10642¢0.0¢-$106
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?MentionsYesResolved$4131¢0.0¢-$41
Blue Jays vs. OriolesMLBOriolesResolved$1.5K69¢0.0¢-$1.5K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$7.5K
Crypto+$2.1K
MLB-$1.5K
NBA+$1.3K
Culture-$1.0K
Mentions-$833
Other sports-$481
Boxing-$300
College Hoops+$272
Economy-$99
NHL+$45
UFC / MMA+$28
Biggest hit
+$2.7K
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?$10611mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$10611mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$9811mo ago
  • Cashed out Chimaev · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$9811mo ago
  • Bought Chimaev · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$7011mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$811mo ago
  • Sold Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$6111mo ago
  • Bought Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5211mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?$5211mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?$45711mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$1711mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$2611mo ago