kinderSman

Predicting since Apr 2025654 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $128K on Crypto markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $44K riding on Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$57K on MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics	No	$44K	85¢	84¢	-$929
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics	No	$5.0K	97¢	98¢	+$10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$4.6K	92¢	94¢	+$75
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$2.9K	98¢	99¢	+$27
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$2.9K	98¢	99¢	+$22
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics	No	$1.8K	91¢	94¢	+$50
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics	No	$979	98¢	99¢	+$12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$960	96¢	97¢	+$13
New pandemic in 2026?Politics	No	$930	93¢	94¢	+$5
LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?Politics	No	$788	99¢	100¢	+$4
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$483	97¢	100¢	+$15
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$463	93¢	98¢	+$26
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Politics	No	$185	94¢	93¢	-$1
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?Politics	No	$107	98¢	96¢	-$2
GTA VI released by October 31?Culture	No	$97	97¢	99¢	+$1
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$68	68¢	90¢	+$21
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics	No	$19	94¢	97¢	+$1
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Tech	YesResolved	$35	29¢	0.0¢	-$35
France vs. England: O/U 0.5World Cup	UnderResolved	$511	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$511
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 16-22?Crypto	YesResolved	$2.5K	83¢	0.0¢	-$2.5K
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?Tech	YesResolved	$7	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$7
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5World Cup	UnderResolved	$287	96¢	0.0¢	-$287

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$128K

Politics+$12K

World Cup+$4.1K

Culture+$536

Tech-$281

Finance+$60

Other sports+$26

Economy+$8

La Liga+$4

Mentions+$4

Biggest hit

+$57K

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Toughest beat

-$25K

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?$7883h ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$10001d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$01d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$452d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1462d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$482d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$4602d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$22d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$102d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$82d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$922d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago