 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $513 | 22¢ | 15¢ | -$161 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $214 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
 Will Figure's F.03 robots run for less than 8 hours without failure?Tech | YesResolved | $194 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$194 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $282 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$282 |
 Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 11?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $163 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $164 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.4K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Politics | NoResolved | $83 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?Finance | NoResolved | $69 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above $425?Finance | YesResolved | $27 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Politics | NoResolved | $289 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$289 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Grok 4.20 released by February 28?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?Tech | NoResolved | $115 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 8?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $164 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $350–375 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $440?Finance | NoResolved | $7 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $425?Finance | NoResolved | $14 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 8 above $315?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 15 above $455?Finance | NoResolved | $52 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $440-$445 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?Finance | YesResolved | $9 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 16?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $81 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $164 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $325–350 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?Politics | NoResolved | $68 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?Finance | YesResolved | $24 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $445-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?Finance | YesResolved | $7 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $206 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$206 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 14?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Tech | NoResolved | $75 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $430?Finance | NoResolved | $29 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?Tech | YesResolved | $880 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$880 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $164 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 9, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 15 above $450?Finance | NoResolved | $51 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 8 above $430?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 17?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?Tech | YesResolved | $973 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$973 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 23?Finance | UpResolved | $57 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
 Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $164 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 19, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?Tech | YesResolved | $322 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$322 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 22 above $490?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?Finance | DownResolved | $66 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on or before April 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $164 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $455?Finance | YesResolved | $165 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$165 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 8 above $180?Finance | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 22 above $495?Finance | YesResolved | $60 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 29?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?Tech | YesResolved | $34 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 7?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Tech | NoResolved | $23 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Tesla dip to $450 in January?Finance | NoResolved | $4 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $164 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 8 above $470?Finance | NoResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above $405?Finance | YesResolved | $55 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 25?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?Tech | YesResolved | $515 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$515 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??Finance | YesResolved | $88 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375–400 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $23 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 13?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?Tech | YesResolved | $707 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$707 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 12, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $164 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party win the NJ-11 House seat?$831mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$122mo ago