 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 17¢ | 31¢ | +$37 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $23 | 16¢ | 55¢ | +$57 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 21¢ | 28¢ | +$18 |
 Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLB | Yes | $31 | 19¢ | 38¢ | +$31 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 60¢ | +$43 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 29¢ | 41¢ | +$15 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $27 | 16¢ | 27¢ | +$17 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 36¢ | 39¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $39 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $38 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$2 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | No | $38 | 34¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$12 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | No | $39 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $38 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$7 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $35 | 34¢ | 30¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $30 | 31¢ | 31¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $39 | 33¢ | 25¢ | -$10 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $25 | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Finance | No | $38 | 27¢ | 18¢ | -$13 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 16¢ | 25¢ | +$9 |
 Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $17 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$4 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 18¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $12 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | Yes | $11 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 21¢ | 8.5¢ | -$13 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 27¢ | 56¢ | +$4 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | -$6 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 18¢ | 4.8¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 19¢ | 4.5¢ | -$9 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 18¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 19¢ | 2.1¢ | -$12 |
 CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance | YesResolved | $11 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $17 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Finance | NoResolved | $44 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will England win?Cricket | NoResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York?Mentions | NoResolved | $17 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Finance | NoResolved | $8 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Finance | YesResolved | $14 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMLB | St. Louis CardinalsResolved | $1 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $6 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?Finance | NoResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 12?Crypto | YesResolved | $18 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $53 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $15 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Finance | NoResolved | $3 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |