Thunderbetz

Predicting since May 2025135 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture	Yes	$9	12¢	9.5¢	-$2
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather	Yes	$3	8.6¢	3.4¢	-$2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	NoResolved	$3	32¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$6	55¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$2	16¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Boxing	NoResolved	$2	42¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Boxing	NoResolved	$3	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?Culture	YesResolved	$0	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $76-80m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	10¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $72-76m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $72m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?Culture	NoResolved	$12	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?Culture	YesResolved	$0	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?Culture	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?Culture	YesResolved	$0	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?Culture	YesResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $62m and $67m?Culture	YesResolved	$2	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	50¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	25¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$4	3.7¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pope Leo visit Peru first?Culture	YesResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $57m and $62m?Culture	YesResolved	$2	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $52m and $57m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$52

Culture+$14

Tech-$8

Boxing-$5

Champions League-$4

Weather-$2

Crypto-$0

Biggest hit

+$39

Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Toughest beat

-$14

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$02mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$32mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$35mo ago
Bought No · Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$25mo ago
Bought No · Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$15mo ago
Bought No · Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$25mo ago
Bought No · Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$05mo ago
Bought No · Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$36mo ago