← Whale Watch

Numitus1994

Predicting since Oct 20249,688 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.0K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in July?WeatherYes$485.8¢6.3¢+$3
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$384.8¢6.3¢+$12
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsYes$4411¢10¢-$4
Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsYes$517.5¢5.6¢-$13
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Basketball (other)Yes$348.4¢8.4¢+$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$327.9¢8.5¢+$2
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$369.0¢8.5¢-$2
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureNo$77.0¢33¢+$26
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$358.6¢8.2¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$246.0¢6.5¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$307.2¢6.5¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat?PoliticsYes$297.0¢6.5¢-$2
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$275.3¢5.0¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$256.3¢5.5¢-$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsYes$389.5¢5.5¢-$16
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?WeatherYes$234.8¢4.5¢-$1
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$365.1¢3.0¢-$15
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$237.1¢6.2¢-$3
Will "Cloud 9 - Megan Moroney" be the top album for 2026?CultureYes$44.9¢25¢+$16
Will Ben Rice hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$47.1¢41¢+$17
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in July?EconomyYes$167.3¢9.0¢+$4
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$201.4¢1.3¢-$1
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$208.5¢8.0¢-$1
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?TechYes$68.9¢28¢+$12
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$199.6¢9.0¢-$1
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsYes$195.1¢4.8¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$217.5¢6.5¢-$3
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsYes$266.5¢4.5¢-$8
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?PoliticsYes$225.5¢4.5¢-$4
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$257.9¢5.5¢-$8
Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$206.3¢5.5¢-$3
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$2211¢8.5¢-$4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$189.0¢8.5¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?PoliticsYes$246.3¢4.5¢-$7
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?UFC / MMAYes$63.8¢11¢+$11
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$239.0¢6.5¢-$6
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?PoliticsYes$231.7¢1.2¢-$7
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$317.6¢4.0¢-$14
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?PoliticsYes$1810¢9.5¢-$2
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$49.5¢39¢+$12
Fuse FDV above $6B one day after launch?CryptoYes$38.3¢44¢+$13
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsYes$129.8¢13¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$168.0¢7.5¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$178.5¢7.5¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$189.0¢7.5¢-$3
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1310¢12¢+$2
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$218.1¢5.5¢-$7
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?PoliticsNo$167.8¢7.1¢-$2
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$178.0¢6.5¢-$3
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$310¢44¢+$11
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$178.1¢6.5¢-$3
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?TechYes$137.4¢7.5¢+$0
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsYes$309.2¢4.0¢-$17
Will the Republican Party win the TN-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$199.3¢6.5¢-$6
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$157.2¢6.5¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$167.8¢6.5¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$157.2¢6.5¢-$2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$729.0¢1.7¢-$59
Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$167.8¢6.5¢-$3
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$189.0¢6.5¢-$5
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$178.6¢6.5¢-$4
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$168.0¢6.5¢-$3
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$147.0¢6.5¢-$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2010¢6.5¢-$7
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?PoliticsYes$94.7¢6.3¢+$3
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsYes$109.5¢13¢+$3
Vanta IPO before 2027?TechYes$1411¢9.5¢-$2
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$210¢60¢+$10
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$157.2¢6.0¢-$3
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?World CupYes$415.1¢1.6¢-$28
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?PoliticsYes$146.8¢6.0¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$136.5¢5.9¢-$1
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsYes$189.0¢6.0¢-$6
Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?PoliticsYes$157.4¢5.9¢-$3
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$128.7¢8.5¢-$0
Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$59.2¢23¢+$7
Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?PoliticsNo$146.9¢5.9¢-$2
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$115.6¢5.9¢+$0
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?PoliticsYes$1212¢12¢-$1
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$168.6¢6.0¢-$5
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$225.5¢2.9¢-$10
Glean IPO before 2027?TechYes$1411¢9.0¢-$3
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$168.0¢5.5¢-$5
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$157.5¢5.5¢-$4
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$136.3¢5.2¢-$2
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$1010¢11¢+$1
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$146.7¢5.3¢-$3
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$1010¢11¢+$1
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?MLBJudge$127.8¢6.5¢-$2
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?PoliticsYes$138.3¢6.5¢-$3
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$287.0¢2.5¢-$18
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechNo$103.1¢3.0¢-$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31?TechYes$1010.0¢10¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$138.7¢6.5¢-$3
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$146.4¢4.5¢-$4
Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?EconomyYes$119.5¢8.6¢-$1
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoYes$105.5¢5.3¢-$0
Will "Caedrel" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?TechYes$13.0¢46¢+$9
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$127.7¢6.3¢-$2
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?EconomyYes$1410¢7.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$3.0K
Finance-$2.0K
Tech-$866
Culture-$512
Economy-$219
Weather-$173
NFL-$160
NBA-$121
Crypto-$95
Formula 1+$87
Other-$79
Mentions-$32
Biggest hit
+$508
US military action against Iran before July?
Toughest beat
-$444
US x Iran ceasefire before August?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$53m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July?$54m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 3DMAX Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$67m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1912m ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$413m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$119m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?$020m ago
  • Sold No · Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$630m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$230m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?$232m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?$232m ago
  • Bought Yes · Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?$236m ago