← Whale Watch

fuckpm

Predicting since May 2026396 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.6K on Weather markets since May 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceNo$33283¢53¢-$122
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$17688¢87¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$17688¢83¢-$9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$18894¢83¢-$22
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$18695¢84¢-$22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$16080¢80¢-$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$14888¢90¢+$4
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$13668¢73¢+$9
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$7638¢36¢-$4
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$3618¢15¢-$5
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherNo$5628¢14¢-$29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2714¢12¢-$3
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$6734¢12¢-$44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on July 12?WeatherYesResolved$99.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$10499¢0.0¢-$104
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?FinanceDownResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$99.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$9781¢0.0¢-$97
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?FinanceDownResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?CryptoUpResolved$022¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?FinanceYesResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 7?WeatherYesResolved$3569¢0.0¢-$35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 12?WeatherYesResolved$4411¢0.0¢-$44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 29?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?TechNoResolved$19248¢0.0¢-$192
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7?WeatherYesResolved$7031¢0.0¢-$70
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 29?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?WeatherNoResolved$190¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5226¢0.0¢-$52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$99.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$2921¢0.0¢-$29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$99.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 11?WeatherYesResolved$7152¢0.0¢-$71

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather-$1.6K
Finance-$945
Politics-$673
Tech-$512
NBA-$234
World Cup+$51
Economy-$37
Other-$29
eSports-$28
Culture-$17
Crypto+$15
Biggest hit
+$575
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
Toughest beat
-$2.0K
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$14510h ago
  • Sold Yes · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$1516h ago
  • Bought Yes · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$1516h ago
  • Bought No · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1601d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$482d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$272d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$1812d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$52d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$102d ago
  • Sold No · Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$522d ago
  • Sold No · Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$292d ago