IvanEST

Predicting since Feb 202687 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy	Yes	$1	21¢	96¢	+$4
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	90¢	100¢	+$0
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	88¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	38¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	57¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$13	51¢	0.0¢	-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	40¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	49¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	58¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	60¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	44¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	57¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	50¢	0.0¢	-$2
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	28¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	57¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	50¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?Crypto	YesResolved	$34	26¢	0.0¢	-$34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$3	65¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Crypto	YesResolved	$7	27¢	0.0¢	-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	59¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	59¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	53¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	56¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	48¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$86

Finance-$15

Economy+$4

Soccer (other)+$1

Tech-$1

Politics+$0

eSports+$0

Premier League+$0

Biggest hit

+$5

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Toughest beat

-$15

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?$04mo ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$04mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$34mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$24mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$14mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$14mo ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$44mo ago
Sold Yes · Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$24mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$05mo ago