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Defileo

Predicting since Nov 20258 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $45K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $9.9K riding on When will the Government shutdown end? .

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?PoliticsYesResolved$9.9K2.6¢0.0¢-$9.9K
Will the government shutdown end November 11?PoliticsYesResolved$2150.8¢0.0¢-$215
Will the government shutdown end November 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K4.0¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$7.2K0.7¢0.0¢-$7.2K
Will the government shutdown end November 14?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K7.2¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will the government shutdown end November 16?PoliticsYesResolved$4391.0¢0.0¢-$439

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$45K
Toughest beat
-$24K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$8854mo ago
  • Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.0K4mo ago
  • Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$15K4mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4047mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$427mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.8K7mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.0K7mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$18mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$08mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$08mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$08mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$448mo ago