joshskey

Predicting since May 202419 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	Yes	$12	8.0¢	5.5¢	-$4
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	15¢	0.0¢	-$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	13¢	0.0¢	-$10
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$10	31¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics	NoResolved	$20	12¢	0.0¢	-$20
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?Culture	NoResolved	$3	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup	YesResolved	$5	45¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Culture	NoResolved	$10	60¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$10	16¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?Premier League	YesResolved	$11	26¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$6	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$20	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$5	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$5	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$5

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$40

Tech-$13

Culture-$13

Premier League-$11

World Cup-$8

Soccer (other)-$5

Biggest hit

+$94

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Cashed out No · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$3812d ago
Bought No · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$1620d ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?$523d ago
Bought Yes · Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?$1123d ago
Bought Yes · Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?$51mo ago
Bought No · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$121mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$52mo ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$52mo ago
Bought No · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$212mo ago
Bought No · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$62mo ago