 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $3.9K | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$288 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | No | $3.5K | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$685 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$73 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $2.5K | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$171 |
 Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $2.0K | 92¢ | 84¢ | -$183 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $1.2K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $1.3K | 94¢ | 72¢ | -$309 |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1000 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$39 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2.8K | 91¢ | 30¢ | -$1.9K |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $500 | 67¢ | 94¢ | +$198 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4.7K | 88¢ | 13¢ | -$4.0K |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Politics | No | $600 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$69 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $500 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $500 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$15 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Politics | No | $500 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $500 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $500 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$6 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $500 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$21 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $300 | 59¢ | 90¢ | +$162 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $400 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$14 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Crypto | No | $300 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Economy | Yes | $400 | 57¢ | 36¢ | -$149 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $200 | 89¢ | 85¢ | -$10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Crypto | No | $100 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $100 | 58¢ | 52¢ | -$10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Crypto | Yes | $100 | 74¢ | 67¢ | -$10 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $10 | 39¢ | 67¢ | +$7 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $100 | 34¢ | 5.5¢ | -$84 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $420 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$420 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $540 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$540 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?Economy | NoResolved | $20 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Hockey (other) | YesResolved | $20 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?Economy | YesResolved | $500 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $376 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$376 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Weather | YesResolved | $16 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will the US add at least 150k jobs in August?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?Economy | YesResolved | $113 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $489 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$489 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $539 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$539 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in September?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?MLB | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in June?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Crypto | NoResolved | $20 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 10?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $143 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Crypto | NoResolved | $302 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$302 |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $545 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$545 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1.8K | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 6.6M and 6.7M in April?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?Economy | YesResolved | $1.4K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?Crypto | YesResolved | $100 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $400 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will the US add more than 125k jobs in September?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $10 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?Economy | YesResolved | $70 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$68d ago