← Whale Watch

nellojello

Predicting since Jan 2026217 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $8.2K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $5.1K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.3K85¢78¢-$405
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K76¢93¢+$302
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$1.9K71¢55¢-$453
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K75¢94¢+$286
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$92574¢56¢-$225
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$72072¢68¢-$40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$67966¢56¢-$106
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$43787¢82¢-$26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2469.8¢14¢+$98
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$30476¢74¢-$8
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$36039¢32¢-$70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$23077¢83¢+$18
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$21484¢88¢+$10
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?FinanceNo$18291¢98¢+$13
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$20826¢20¢-$46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$14214¢12¢-$18
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$6933¢51¢+$38
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$5365¢97¢+$26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9045¢38¢-$14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$27135¢9.5¢-$198
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2274¢89¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$34017¢0.7¢-$327
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$3010.0¢1.7¢-$25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$40.4¢0.4¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$4149¢4.5¢-$37
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$20.3¢0.2¢-$1
Will 175 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$7528¢0.4¢-$74
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$27.0¢3.5¢-$1
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2666¢0.0¢-$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2542¢0.0¢-$25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28.6¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$8.2K
Crypto-$1.5K
Economy-$683
Finance-$634
Mentions-$415
World Cup+$378
La Liga-$305
Cricket+$216
Tennis-$137
Weather+$55
Golf-$51
Tech-$13
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$7601d ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$4251d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$7111d ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$4041d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?$1.7K1d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$9151d ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?$22d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$532d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$8002d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$5972d ago
  • Sold No · Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$2562d ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$1353d ago