← Whale Watch
Thumos
Up $18K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.
Right now: $6.0K across 2 Tech markets.
Biggest hit: +$26K on Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Tech | YesResolved | $3.0K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $3.0K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2.2K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$18K
Tech-$9.0K
Culture-$7.9K
Biggest hit
+$26K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$5.1K
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Recent moves
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$153K3mo ago- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$9.5K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0K7mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$17K7mo ago