← Whale Watch

FishyAF

Predicting since Sep 2021375 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $27K on Politics markets since Sep 2021.

Right now: $22K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.3K on Will Reddit IPO at between $7.5b-10b valuation?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$6.4K85¢100¢+$1.1K
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$201.8¢93¢+$988
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$26065¢81¢+$66
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?TechYes$20749¢74¢+$104
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?TechNo$14947¢91¢+$137
Databricks IPO before 2027?TechNo$10251¢91¢+$80
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$9849¢80¢+$62
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?TechNo$9363¢83¢+$29
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$60.5¢0.0¢-$6
Texans vs. SeahawksNFLTexansResolved$901.0¢0.0¢-$90
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$992.3¢0.0¢-$99
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K19¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$13K7.6¢0.0¢-$13K
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$4010.1¢0.0¢-$401
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$366.0¢0.0¢-$36
Will anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$56344¢0.0¢-$563
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$210.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?PoliticsYesResolved$15017¢0.0¢-$150
Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Other sportsIndianaResolved$5858¢0.0¢-$58
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYesResolved$10031¢0.0¢-$100
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will anyone say "Tylenol" during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$3120¢0.0¢-$31
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$91828¢0.0¢-$918
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?PoliticsNoResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$81.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?EconomyNoResolved$5922¢0.0¢-$59
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 5?PoliticsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$50.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$313.1¢0.0¢-$31
Will Alessandro Tomasi win Tuscany Regional Election?PoliticsYesResolved$32.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Helena Moreno win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$122.9¢0.0¢-$12
Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?EconomyNoResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$3033.6¢0.0¢-$303
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionPoliticsYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1541.4¢0.0¢-$154
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$1808.6¢0.0¢-$180
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 5?PoliticsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?TechYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?PoliticsYesResolved$15.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$61.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Royce Duplessis win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)Other sportsIndianaResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?PoliticsNoResolved$37660¢0.0¢-$376
Will Oliver Thomas win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$150.7¢0.0¢-$15
Weed rescheduled in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$340.8¢0.0¢-$34
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? CultureYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$8.3K6.9¢0.0¢-$8.3K
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?TechYesResolved$5638¢0.0¢-$56
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$25125¢0.0¢-$251
Will MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?EconomyNoResolved$5627¢0.0¢-$56
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?Other sportsYesResolved$70.6¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$303.5¢0.0¢-$30
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$12.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$90.5¢0.0¢-$9
Will Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?EconomyNoResolved$3423¢0.0¢-$34
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?TechYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$251.3¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$32.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?TechYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
OpenAI browser by October 31?TechNoResolved$5454¢0.0¢-$54
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?EconomyNoResolved$189.0¢0.0¢-$18

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$27K
Tech+$6.1K
Finance+$4.5K
Economy+$4.0K
eSports+$3.5K
Mentions-$1.5K
Other sports+$1.2K
Culture-$1.1K
Tennis+$666
Weather-$344
NBA+$248
Other+$220
Biggest hit
+$4.3K
Will Reddit IPO at between $7.5b-10b valuation?
Toughest beat
-$2.0K
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$2003mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?$1.5K3mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$13mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$173mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$23mo ago
  • Bought No · Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$324mo ago
  • Bought No · Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$754mo ago
  • Bought No · Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$164mo ago
  • Bought Yes · OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$64mo ago
  • Bought No · Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$1374mo ago
  • Bought Yes · OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$2014mo ago
  • Bought No · Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$994mo ago