Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6.4K | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$1.1K |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 1.8¢ | 93¢ | +$988 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $260 | 65¢ | 81¢ | +$66 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech | Yes | $207 | 49¢ | 74¢ | +$104 |
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $149 | 47¢ | 91¢ | +$137 |
Databricks IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $102 | 51¢ | 91¢ | +$80 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $98 | 49¢ | 80¢ | +$62 |
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $93 | 63¢ | 83¢ | +$29 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Texans vs. SeahawksNFL | TexansResolved | $90 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $99 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $3.4K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.4K |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $13K | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13K |
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $401 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$401 |
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?Mentions | YesResolved | $563 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$563 |
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Other sports | IndianaResolved | $58 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will anyone say "Tylenol" during South Park's prediction market episode?Mentions | YesResolved | $31 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | NoResolved | $918 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$918 |
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Economy | NoResolved | $59 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 5?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $31 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Alessandro Tomasi win Tuscany Regional Election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Helena Moreno win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Economy | NoResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $303 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$303 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionPolitics | YesResolved | $21 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $154 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$154 |
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $180 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 5?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Royce Duplessis win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)Other sports | IndianaResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?Politics | NoResolved | $376 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$376 |
Will Oliver Thomas win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Weed rescheduled in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $8.3K | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.3K |
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Tech | YesResolved | $56 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $251 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$251 |
Will MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Economy | NoResolved | $56 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?Other sports | YesResolved | $7 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Economy | NoResolved | $34 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $25 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?Tech | NoResolved | $54 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Economy | NoResolved | $18 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |