ReturnToMonke

Predicting since Dec 2024218 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.6K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $701 riding on Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$168	53¢	0.0¢	-$168
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics	NoResolved	$150	59¢	0.0¢	-$150
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$701	76¢	0.0¢	-$701
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$151	48¢	0.0¢	-$151
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$38	10¢	0.0¢	-$38
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$237	68¢	0.0¢	-$237
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$300	64¢	0.0¢	-$300
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup	YesResolved	$30	36¢	0.0¢	-$30
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?World Cup	YesResolved	$104	58¢	0.0¢	-$104
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$49	84¢	0.0¢	-$49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$100	63¢	0.0¢	-$100
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Politics	NoResolved	$200	62¢	0.0¢	-$200
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$71	63¢	0.0¢	-$71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$144	41¢	0.0¢	-$144
Khamenei seen in public before July?Politics	NoResolved	$63	63¢	0.0¢	-$63
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$75	27¢	0.0¢	-$75
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Politics	NoResolved	$425	70¢	0.0¢	-$425
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Politics	NoResolved	$219	46¢	0.0¢	-$219
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Politics	NoResolved	$15	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (February 22)Mentions	NoResolved	$134	63¢	0.0¢	-$134
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$38	28¢	0.0¢	-$38
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$68	70¢	0.0¢	-$68
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Politics	YesResolved	$15	13¢	0.0¢	-$15
Government shutdown on Saturday?Politics	YesResolved	$544	68¢	0.0¢	-$544
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)Mentions	NoResolved	$56	60¢	0.0¢	-$56
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$73	37¢	0.0¢	-$73
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$120	66¢	0.0¢	-$120
Iran strike on US military by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$100	78¢	0.0¢	-$100
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Politics	NoResolved	$200	86¢	0.0¢	-$200
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Politics	NoResolved	$210	84¢	0.0¢	-$210
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$15	70¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$100	70¢	0.0¢	-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.6K

Crypto+$997

Tech-$977

Mentions-$475

NBA+$351

World Cup-$134

Other+$130

NFL+$120

Culture+$27

Biggest hit

+$645

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Toughest beat

-$1.0K

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$227d ago
Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$1282mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?$1282mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?$972mo ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$972mo ago
Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$1032mo ago
Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-14?$312mo ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$72mo ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1203mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$1203mo ago
Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$673mo ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$673mo ago