← Whale Watch

ReturnToMonke

Predicting since Dec 2024218 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.6K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $701 riding on Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$12822¢8.5¢-$78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16853¢0.0¢-$168
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?PoliticsNoResolved$15059¢0.0¢-$150
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$70176¢0.0¢-$701
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$15148¢0.0¢-$151
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$3810.0¢0.0¢-$38
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$23768¢0.0¢-$237
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$30064¢0.0¢-$300
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$3036¢0.0¢-$30
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?World CupYesResolved$10458¢0.0¢-$104
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4984¢0.0¢-$49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10063¢0.0¢-$100
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?PoliticsNoResolved$20062¢0.0¢-$200
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$7163¢0.0¢-$71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$14441¢0.0¢-$144
Khamenei seen in public before July?PoliticsNoResolved$6363¢0.0¢-$63
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$7527¢0.0¢-$75
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$42570¢0.0¢-$425
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$21946¢0.0¢-$219
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?PoliticsNoResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (February 22)MentionsNoResolved$13463¢0.0¢-$134
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3828¢0.0¢-$38
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$6870¢0.0¢-$68
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1513¢0.0¢-$15
Government shutdown on Saturday?PoliticsYesResolved$54468¢0.0¢-$544
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)MentionsNoResolved$5660¢0.0¢-$56
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$7337¢0.0¢-$73
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12066¢0.0¢-$120
Iran strike on US military by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$10078¢0.0¢-$100
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?PoliticsNoResolved$20086¢0.0¢-$200
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$21084¢0.0¢-$210
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1570¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10070¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.6K
Crypto+$997
Tech-$977
Mentions-$475
NBA+$351
World Cup-$134
Other+$130
NFL+$120
Culture+$27
Biggest hit
+$645
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Nothing Ever Happens: June

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$1289d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?$1289d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?$9710d ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$9710d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$10310d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-14?$3112d ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$71mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1201mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$1201mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$671mo ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$671mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$881mo ago