← Whale Watch

suraxy

Predicting since Aug 20252,204 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $29K on Politics markets since Aug 2025.

Right now: $2.3K riding on Ballon d'Or Winner 2026.

Biggest hit: +$8.5K on US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K16¢47¢+$2.6K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$2.3K63¢56¢-$236
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1.4K56¢56¢+$12
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$33743¢87¢+$346
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$95832¢23¢-$290
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$402.7¢43¢+$599
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$50026¢28¢+$52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?FinanceYes$36012¢13¢+$15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$20015¢16¢+$7
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$25715¢12¢-$51
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$3009.7¢5.5¢-$129
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12511¢11¢-$4
Will Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherYes$458.1¢18¢+$57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$3062.3¢0.7¢-$212
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$38012¢2.9¢-$293
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1002.0¢1.5¢-$27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1985.6¢1.1¢-$159
Will Pep Guardiola be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherYes$28520¢2.2¢-$254
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherYes$168.0¢15¢+$13
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$483.0¢1.7¢-$21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2512¢13¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$2408.0¢0.8¢-$216
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.5K23¢0.4¢-$1.5K
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYes$707.0¢1.3¢-$57
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$6049¢9.5¢-$48
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$120.3¢0.2¢-$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$604.8¢0.6¢-$53
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsYes$3612¢1.3¢-$32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$753.0¢0.1¢-$71
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$271¢68¢-$0
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4011¢0.6¢-$38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsNo$1023.7¢0.1¢-$101
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsYes$55920¢0.1¢-$558
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$10.6¢0.9¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?PoliticsNoResolved$1102.1¢0.0¢-$110
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 12, 2026?NBANoResolved$15.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$270.9¢0.0¢-$27
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?NBANoResolved$5010¢0.0¢-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$29K
Soccer (other)+$4.5K
Crypto-$3.0K
Culture-$2.8K
Finance-$1.5K
Mentions-$1.2K
Other-$1.1K
Champions League+$899
La Liga-$835
World Cup+$726
Tennis+$584
Premier League+$380
Biggest hit
+$8.5K
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.7K
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$3601h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?$311h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?$2001h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$51h ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$4.3K3h ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$3223h ago
  • Bought Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$5007h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$308h ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$9612h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1619h ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$119h ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$119h ago