 Will Elon Musk say "AGI / Artificial General Intelligence" during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Powell say "Rate cut" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | YesResolved | $24 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $50 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Powell say "Recession" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $175 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$175 |
 Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Squawk Box interview on August 5?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will anyone say "Roadmap" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Mentions | YesResolved | $60 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will anyone say "Open Source" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 8?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Leavitt say "Ukraine" during next White House press briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will anyone say "Scout" during the Q2 2025 Meta earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "War" 15+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?Mentions | NoResolved | $116 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
 Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $100 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $25 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Mentions | NoResolved | $24 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump say "Drone" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "Sanction" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Quiroga win by 3-7%?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $131 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 5AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $23 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Powell say "Summer" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Imagine/Veo" 3 or more times during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Powell say "Uncertainty" 7+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $182 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump say "Woke" during his Executive Order signing on August 5?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $109 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | NoResolved | $26 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $150 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| Will Trump say "Biden's war" this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Mentions | YesResolved | $120 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Blue Jays vs. PiratesMLB | Blue JaysResolved | $40 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 XRP Up or Down - July 29, 11AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 8AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $11 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Powell say "Obvious" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $76 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $59 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| Mets vs. NationalsMLB | MetsResolved | $20 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Mainstream /Legacy" during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Secondary tariff" or "Sanction" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Gaza" 10+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Mentions | YesResolved | $18 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?Crypto | YesResolved | $37 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $20 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | NoResolved | $40 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Tesla" during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | YesResolved | $21 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Powell say "Chair" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | NoResolved | $40 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Tariff" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $60 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Sydney" or "Taylor" during his Executive Order signing on August 5?Mentions | NoResolved | $7 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-20?Champions League | YesResolved | $20 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" during his Executive Order signing on August 5?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump announce Chris Waller to replace Kugler?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump say "Nord Stream" or "Pipeline" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | YesResolved | $61 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
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