← Whale Watch

willsom

Predicting since Aug 2025665 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $26K on Politics markets since Aug 2025.

Right now: $9.2K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.8K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$4.6K89¢98¢+$418
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1.6K53¢63¢+$284
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1.7K88¢96¢+$143
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.5K85¢96¢+$190
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K59¢81¢+$440
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$98687¢97¢+$109
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?PoliticsYes$88878¢96¢+$207
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$95859¢59¢+$2
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?PoliticsYes$83184¢96¢+$119
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?WeatherNo$60368¢91¢+$209
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75994¢98¢+$35
Will Elsa Pinto win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$40059¢100¢+$277
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$77831¢26¢-$122
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$52844¢44¢-$6
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$34057¢87¢+$182
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$25240¢71¢+$198
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?EconomyNo$26616¢26¢+$179
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$38883¢94¢+$53
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$18044¢85¢+$164
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$27530¢26¢-$37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$56819¢7.5¢-$343
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?PoliticsNo$13357¢87¢+$70
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$13970¢93¢+$44
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19217¢13¢-$49
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$11059¢74¢+$27
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$11186¢94¢+$11
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$5159¢100¢+$35
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?PoliticsNo$2933¢73¢+$35
Chud the Builder convicted?PoliticsYes$2538¢53¢+$10
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?TechNo$1930¢42¢+$8
Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?PoliticsYes$4721¢11¢-$24
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$16016¢1.5¢-$145
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1260¢67¢+$1
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$357¢96¢+$2
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? TechYes$5311¢0.5¢-$50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1788.1¢0.1¢-$177
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$28014¢0.0¢-$280
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?TechYesResolved$319.5¢0.0¢-$31
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?TechYesResolved$91.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$678.4¢0.0¢-$67
Trump weaponization fund blocked by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$34034¢0.0¢-$340
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsNoResolved$39649¢0.0¢-$396
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$23168¢0.0¢-$231
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$37111¢0.0¢-$371
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$39039¢0.0¢-$390
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$744.3¢0.0¢-$74
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Green" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?MentionsNoResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?PoliticsNoResolved$52487¢0.0¢-$524
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5821.2¢0.0¢-$582
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$26216¢0.0¢-$262
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?PoliticsNoResolved$15213¢0.0¢-$152
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?TechYesResolved$9045¢0.0¢-$90
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?TechYesResolved$1818¢0.0¢-$18
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$450.9¢0.0¢-$45
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$1587.9¢0.0¢-$158
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?PoliticsNoResolved$878.7¢0.0¢-$87
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$72237¢0.0¢-$722
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?MentionsNoResolved$151.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?MentionsYesResolved$10010¢0.0¢-$100
Will OpenAI have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?TechYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Another RFK Jr animal rescue by June 30?CultureYesResolved$4124¢0.0¢-$41
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?PoliticsNoResolved$17236¢0.0¢-$172
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$7626¢0.0¢-$76
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$22831¢0.0¢-$228
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaeSportsCloud9Resolved$420¢0.0¢-$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$729¢0.0¢-$7
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?PoliticsYesResolved$160.2¢0.0¢-$16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$74374¢0.0¢-$743
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$555.5¢0.0¢-$55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50315¢0.0¢-$503
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?PoliticsNoResolved$12431¢0.0¢-$124
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$22811¢0.0¢-$228
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?PoliticsYesResolved$14916¢0.0¢-$149
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?PoliticsYesResolved$1809.0¢0.0¢-$180
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?CultureNoResolved$2050¢0.0¢-$20
Trump kiss by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$16354¢0.0¢-$163
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$13527¢0.0¢-$135
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?PoliticsYesResolved$22.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$402.0¢0.0¢-$40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$23029¢0.0¢-$230
Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?World CupNoResolved$25443¢0.0¢-$254
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$33066¢0.0¢-$330
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$53328¢0.0¢-$533
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8543¢0.0¢-$85
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$24518¢0.0¢-$245
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?MentionsYesResolved$5327¢0.0¢-$53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$34858¢0.0¢-$348
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?WeatherYesResolved$13234¢0.0¢-$132
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$32032¢0.0¢-$320
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$15018¢0.0¢-$150
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$1451.0¢0.0¢-$145

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$26K
Tech+$9.3K
Crypto+$3.0K
Weather+$1.2K
Culture+$925
Other-$662
Mentions+$338
Economy+$260
Finance+$242
Boxing+$124
NBA-$119
World Cup+$14
Biggest hit
+$2.8K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.0K
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$5287m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$31615m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$64317m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$8418h ago
  • Sold Yes · China ballistic missile launch by December 31?$901d ago
  • Sold No · Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold No · Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?$3481d ago
  • Sold No · Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?$241d ago
  • Sold No · Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?$691d ago
  • Sold No · Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?$2801d ago
  • Bought No · Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?$1.1K1d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$1291d ago