Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $4.6K | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$418 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1.6K | 53¢ | 63¢ | +$284 |
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$143 |
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $1.5K | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$190 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 59¢ | 81¢ | +$440 |
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $986 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$109 |
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Politics | Yes | $888 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$207 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $958 | 59¢ | 59¢ | +$2 |
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Politics | Yes | $831 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$119 |
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?Weather | No | $603 | 68¢ | 91¢ | +$209 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $759 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$35 |
Will Elsa Pinto win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | No | $400 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$277 |
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $778 | 31¢ | 26¢ | -$122 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $528 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$6 |
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $340 | 57¢ | 87¢ | +$182 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $252 | 40¢ | 71¢ | +$198 |
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Economy | No | $266 | 16¢ | 26¢ | +$179 |
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $388 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$53 |
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $180 | 44¢ | 85¢ | +$164 |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $275 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$37 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $568 | 19¢ | 7.5¢ | -$343 |
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Politics | No | $133 | 57¢ | 87¢ | +$70 |
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $139 | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$44 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $192 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$49 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $110 | 59¢ | 74¢ | +$27 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $111 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | No | $51 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Politics | No | $29 | 33¢ | 73¢ | +$35 |
Chud the Builder convicted?Politics | Yes | $25 | 38¢ | 53¢ | +$10 |
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Tech | No | $19 | 30¢ | 42¢ | +$8 |
Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?Politics | Yes | $47 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$24 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $160 | 16¢ | 1.5¢ | -$145 |
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | Yes | $53 | 11¢ | 0.5¢ | -$50 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $178 | 8.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$177 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $280 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$280 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $31 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $67 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Trump weaponization fund blocked by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $340 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$340 |
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | NoResolved | $396 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$396 |
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $231 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$231 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $371 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$371 |
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $390 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$390 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $74 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "Green" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Politics | NoResolved | $524 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$524 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $582 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$582 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $262 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$262 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $152 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $90 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | NoResolved | $158 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Politics | NoResolved | $87 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $722 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$722 |
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Mentions | NoResolved | $15 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $100 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will OpenAI have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Another RFK Jr animal rescue by June 30?Culture | YesResolved | $41 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?Politics | NoResolved | $172 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$172 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $76 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $228 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$228 |
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaeSports | Cloud9Resolved | $4 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $743 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$743 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $55 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $503 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$503 |
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Politics | NoResolved | $124 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $228 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$228 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?Politics | YesResolved | $149 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $180 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?Culture | NoResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Trump kiss by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $163 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $135 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $230 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?World Cup | NoResolved | $254 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$254 |
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $330 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $533 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$533 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $85 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $245 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$245 |
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Mentions | YesResolved | $53 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $348 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$348 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Weather | YesResolved | $132 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $320 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$320 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $145 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |