← Whale Watch

Noctua.

Predicting since Jan 2026720 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1756¢71¢+$5
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$114¢81¢+$7
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$489¢93¢+$0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsYes$535¢12¢-$4
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?Soccer (other)NoResolved$323¢0.0¢-$3
Pacers vs. MagicNBAPacersResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 GroupeSportsSenshi Esports ClubResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Cavaliers vs. 76ersNBA76ersResolved$850¢0.0¢-$8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?La LigaYesResolved$2652¢0.0¢-$26
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?Soccer (other)NoResolved$439¢0.0¢-$4
Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5NBAOverResolved$1156¢0.0¢-$11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?Champions LeagueNoResolved$1040¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)NBACavaliersResolved$1653¢0.0¢-$16
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5NHLUnderResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
Pistons vs. HornetsNBAHornetsResolved$744¢0.0¢-$7
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScorePremier LeagueNoResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: UAB Blazers (-6.5)Basketball (other)UAB BlazersResolved$649¢0.0¢-$6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?BundesligaNoResolved$842¢0.0¢-$8
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5NBAUnderResolved$947¢0.0¢-$9
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffseSportsFnaticResolved$1143¢0.0¢-$11
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$1645¢0.0¢-$16
Knicks vs. WarriorsNBAKnicksResolved$630¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)NHLOilersResolved$340¢0.0¢-$3
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5NBAUnderResolved$444¢0.0¢-$4
North Korea missile launch by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$881¢0.0¢-$8
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Other sportsUnderResolved$1354¢0.0¢-$13
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$1472¢0.0¢-$14
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$2643¢0.0¢-$26
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?BundesligaYesResolved$1138¢0.0¢-$11
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5NFLOverResolved$746¢0.0¢-$7
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5NBAOverResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1783¢0.0¢-$17
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScorePremier LeagueNoResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?Champions LeagueNoResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?Champions LeagueNoResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Flames vs. CanadiensNHLFlamesResolved$1144¢0.0¢-$11
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$949¢0.0¢-$9
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?World CupNoResolved$2892¢0.0¢-$28
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5NBAUnderResolved$753¢0.0¢-$7
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1351¢0.0¢-$13
Ducks vs. HurricanesNHLDucksResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Islanders vs. PredatorsNHLIslandersResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Wizards vs. SunsNBAWizardsResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Maple Leafs vs. KrakenNHLMaple LeafsResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5NBAOverResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)NBARocketsResolved$254¢0.0¢-$2
Celtics vs. WarriorsNBAWarriorsResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Clermont Foot 63 vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1823¢0.0¢-$18
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5NHLUnderResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Kings vs. WarriorsNBAKingsResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreChampions LeagueNoResolved$445¢0.0¢-$4
Spurs vs. CelticsNBACelticsResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)NBAThunderResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?Soccer (other)NoResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)Toulouse FCResolved$2347¢0.0¢-$23
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)NBAWarriorsResolved$853¢0.0¢-$8
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5NBAUnderResolved$450¢0.0¢-$4
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5NBAOverResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?Champions LeagueNoResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5NBAOverResolved$658¢0.0¢-$6
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?EconomyYesResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Raptors vs. CavaliersNBARaptorsResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Blue Jackets vs. UtahNHLUtahResolved$662¢0.0¢-$6
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas MachacTennisMachacResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$3672¢0.0¢-$36
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$3854¢0.0¢-$38
Heat vs. BullsNBABullsResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Capitals vs. BlackhawksNHLBlackhawksResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?Other sportsNoResolved$675¢0.0¢-$6
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White SoxMLBChicago White SoxResolved$946¢0.0¢-$9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?Champions LeagueNoResolved$2346¢0.0¢-$23
Rotterdam Open: Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-AliassimeTennisBublikResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Packers vs. BearsNFLPackersResolved$1454¢0.0¢-$14
Hawks vs. KnicksNBAHawksResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?Soccer (other)NoResolved$646¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$115.7¢0.0¢-$11
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5NBAUnderResolved$4444¢0.0¢-$44
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)NBACelticsResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?La LigaNoResolved$659¢0.0¢-$6
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?CultureYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?Soccer (other)NoResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?Premier LeagueNoResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Magic (-5.5)NBAGrizzliesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5NBAOverResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasoneSportsTeam HereticsResolved$659¢0.0¢-$6
Pistons vs. PelicansNBAPelicansResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-11?BundesligaNoResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Canadiens vs. SenatorsNHLSenatorsResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?eSportsNoResolved$1734¢0.0¢-$17
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?CultureNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Canadiens vs. HurricanesNHLHurricanesResolved$660¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)NBAClippersResolved$747¢0.0¢-$7
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5NBAOverResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?Premier LeagueNoResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)NBAMavericksResolved$448¢0.0¢-$4
Oilers vs. BlackhawksNHLBlackhawksResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Basketball (other)+$216
Premier League+$136
NHL+$121
Politics-$94
Champions League+$82
Soccer (other)-$78
eSports-$44
La Liga+$34
NFL+$34
Bundesliga+$32
World Cup+$25
NBA-$24
Biggest hit
+$55
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?
Toughest beat
-$48
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$206d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6006d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$206d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$126d ago
  • Bought No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$06d ago
  • Bought No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$116d ago
  • Bought No · Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26d ago
  • Bought No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1476d ago
  • Bought No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4306d ago
  • Bought No · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1710d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$110d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1710d ago