← Whale Watch

Draffa

Predicting since May 2026444 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Politics markets since May 2026.

Right now: $3.5K across 9 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$9.6K on US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.6K9.2¢20¢+$1.8K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$2305.7¢6.5¢+$30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2570.7¢0.7¢-$29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsNo$2404.0¢2.6¢-$81
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$3453.4¢1.3¢-$220
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$5113.0¢0.7¢-$401
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsNo$1005.0¢5.5¢+$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$3252.2¢0.1¢-$302
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsNo$100.5¢0.1¢-$8
Spread: Spain (-4.5)World CupSpainResolved$202.5¢0.0¢-$20
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverOther sportsIndiana FeverResolved$454.5¢0.0¢-$45
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$23935¢0.0¢-$239
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Champions LeagueYesResolved$6523¢0.0¢-$65
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-17?Soccer (other)YesResolved$255.0¢0.0¢-$25
Spread: Spain (-5.5)World CupSpainResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Lorenzo AngeliniTennisLorenzo AngeliniResolved$1589.3¢0.0¢-$158
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$261.3¢0.0¢-$26
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?World CupNoResolved$86714¢0.0¢-$867
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)World CupPortugalResolved$122.2¢0.0¢-$12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?CryptoYesResolved$110.6¢0.0¢-$11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$610.2¢0.0¢-$61
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: France (-5.5)World CupFranceResolved$120.4¢0.0¢-$12
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)World CupNetherlandsResolved$31.7¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupFranceResolved$35321¢0.0¢-$353
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4823.6¢0.0¢-$482
Spread: England (-2.5)World CupEnglandResolved$944.2¢0.0¢-$94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$29214¢0.0¢-$292
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.2¢0.0¢-$4
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$503.5¢0.0¢-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$11616¢0.0¢-$116
Spread: England (-3.5)World CupEnglandResolved$5011¢0.0¢-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$3748.7¢0.0¢-$374
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$201.9¢0.0¢-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5World CupOverResolved$204.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3628.5¢0.0¢-$362
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$191.8¢0.0¢-$19
EC Juventude vs. Vila Nova FC: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$19712¢0.0¢-$197
Spread: Ceará SC (-1.5)Soccer (other)Ceará SCResolved$452.2¢0.0¢-$45
Spread: United States (-2.5)World CupUnited StatesResolved$5020¢0.0¢-$50
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)World CupBrazilResolved$22126¢0.0¢-$221
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$252.3¢0.0¢-$25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$1624.0¢0.0¢-$162
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)World CupNetherlandsResolved$3915¢0.0¢-$39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$221.1¢0.0¢-$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$5963.7¢0.0¢-$596
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)World CupBrazilResolved$281.4¢0.0¢-$28
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)World CupPortugalResolved$440.4¢0.0¢-$44
Spread: Spain (-2.5)World CupSpainResolved$1655.1¢0.0¢-$165
Will Orlando Pride win on 2026-07-15?Soccer (other)YesResolved$32511¢0.0¢-$325
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3439.9¢0.0¢-$343
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K3.0¢0.0¢-$1.2K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$505.0¢0.0¢-$50
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Kaitlin QuevedoTennisKaitlin QuevedoResolved$808.9¢0.0¢-$80
EC Juventude vs. Vila Nova FC: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$924.0¢0.0¢-$92
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$22415¢0.0¢-$224
Spread: Spain (-5.5)World CupSpainResolved$120.5¢0.0¢-$12
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupFranceResolved$50817¢0.0¢-$508
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$70.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-10?Soccer (other)YesResolved$153.0¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: France (-3.5)World CupFranceResolved$306.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-07-15?Soccer (other)NoResolved$33427¢0.0¢-$334
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$80.6¢0.0¢-$8
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$23524¢0.0¢-$235
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$505.0¢0.0¢-$50
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick HanfmannTennisLukas NeumayerResolved$3006.9¢0.0¢-$300
Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)World CupSwitzerlandResolved$100.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?World CupNoResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4331.7¢0.0¢-$433
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)World CupPortugalResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4?CryptoYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Spread: Spain (-5.5)World CupSpainResolved$70.1¢0.0¢-$7
ITF Luan: Naho Sato vs Gio JangTennisGio JangResolved$997.1¢0.0¢-$99
Will England win on 2026-06-17?World CupNoResolved$343¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Canada (-2.5)World CupCanadaResolved$3012¢0.0¢-$30
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)World CupPortugalResolved$5511¢0.0¢-$55
Spread: England (-5.5)World CupEnglandResolved$111.1¢0.0¢-$11
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$12221¢0.0¢-$122
Spread: France (-4.5)World CupFranceResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$2540.4¢0.0¢-$254
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?PoliticsYesResolved$3491.4¢0.0¢-$349
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$571.1¢0.0¢-$57
Will France win on 2026-07-18?World CupYesResolved$13813¢0.0¢-$138
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$414.1¢0.0¢-$41
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$812.7¢0.0¢-$81
Spread: Orlando Pride (-1.5)Soccer (other)Orlando PrideResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$232.3¢0.0¢-$23
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$21034¢0.0¢-$210
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$1170.4¢0.0¢-$117
ITF Castelo Branco: Maxwell Mckennon vs Luke HooperTennisLuke HooperResolved$453.0¢0.0¢-$45
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$938.5¢0.0¢-$93
Spread: France (-2.5)World CupFranceResolved$33211¢0.0¢-$332
Spread: France (-3.5)World CupFranceResolved$384.8¢0.0¢-$38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechNoResolved$311.2¢0.0¢-$31
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)World CupBelgiumResolved$192.6¢0.0¢-$19

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$14K
World Cup-$3.2K
Soccer (other)-$2.3K
Economy+$2.3K
Crypto-$1.8K
Tennis-$905
Tech-$435
MLS-$119
Other sports-$45
Champions League+$45
eSports-$23
Weather-$1
Biggest hit
+$9.6K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$2538s ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$501h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$352h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$1793h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$03h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$104h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$94h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$104h ago