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Bonvivant

Predicting since Sep 202476 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $11K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $6.4K riding on Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$37037¢21¢-$160
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$8011¢27¢+$122
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$15030¢20¢-$49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$12012¢4.3¢-$75
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$203.2¢1.8¢-$9
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$33712¢0.1¢-$336
Will Biden finish his term?PoliticsNoResolved$3013¢0.0¢-$30
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?BoxingYesResolved$5037¢0.0¢-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$16022¢0.0¢-$160
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$103.3¢0.0¢-$10
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$4181¢0.0¢-$41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?PoliticsYesResolved$101.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say Fordow during his Iran address on June 21?MentionsNoResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?PoliticsYesResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$37564¢0.0¢-$375
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$6.4K31¢0.0¢-$6.4K
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1NoResolved$9828¢0.0¢-$98
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?PoliticsYesResolved$206.0¢0.0¢-$20
F1 British Grand Prix: Safety Car? Formula 1NoResolved$3034¢0.0¢-$30
Will Biden pardon Trump?PoliticsYesResolved$55.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?PoliticsYesResolved$918¢0.0¢-$9
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5550¢0.0¢-$55
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?PoliticsYesResolved$409.0¢0.0¢-$40
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?PoliticsYesResolved$7018¢0.0¢-$70
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11216¢0.0¢-$112
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?CryptoYesResolved$1548¢0.0¢-$15
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car? Formula 1NoResolved$6050¢0.0¢-$60
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15351¢0.0¢-$153
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$1548¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?PoliticsYesResolved$1633¢0.0¢-$16
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2537¢0.0¢-$25
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?PoliticsYesResolved$193.1¢0.0¢-$19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$61854¢0.0¢-$618
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?PoliticsYesResolved$10017¢0.0¢-$100
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$2026¢0.0¢-$20
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$23030¢0.0¢-$230
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$6022¢0.0¢-$60
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? Formula 1YesResolved$3028¢0.0¢-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?CryptoYesResolved$5614¢0.0¢-$56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$74518¢0.0¢-$745
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$40053¢0.0¢-$400
Starmer out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20010.0¢0.0¢-$200
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$3612¢0.0¢-$36
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?PoliticsYesResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$1511¢0.0¢-$15
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$6032¢0.0¢-$60

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$11K
Formula 1-$959
Tech+$645
Crypto+$270
Culture-$90
Boxing-$50
Mentions-$20
Tennis+$7
Biggest hit
+$332
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Spain snap election called in 2025?