Castiron67

Predicting since Nov 202572 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1000 riding on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$100	58¢	18¢	-$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$126	45¢	0.0¢	-$126
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$19	57¢	0.0¢	-$19
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$100
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$520	65¢	0.0¢	-$520
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	11¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$22	35¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	87¢	0.0¢	-$100
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$100	63¢	0.0¢	-$100
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Politics	YesResolved	$500	39¢	0.0¢	-$500
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	36¢	0.0¢	-$5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$100	27¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$10	52¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$10	55¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$49	29¢	0.0¢	-$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$16	36¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Politics	YesResolved	$400	47¢	0.0¢	-$400
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$12	46¢	0.0¢	-$12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1000	34¢	0.0¢	-$1000
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$100	54¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	80¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$98	55¢	0.0¢	-$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$90	59¢	0.0¢	-$90
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$48	39¢	0.0¢	-$48
Kansas Jayhawks vs. North Carolina State WolfpackBasketball (other)	North Carolina State WolfpackResolved	$60	30¢	0.0¢	-$60

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$948

Crypto+$371

NFL+$155

Basketball (other)-$60

Biggest hit

+$2.2K

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$160

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?$1435mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$8055mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?$1005mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 5, 2026?$1415mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$05mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 2, 2026?$05mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$05mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 2, 2026?$1155mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$2135mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 5, 2026?$1005mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?$1285mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?$1285mo ago