← Whale Watch

Merlot

Predicting since Oct 20241,872 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $26K on Mentions markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $5.0K across 5 Mentions markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.5K on Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Ravens vs. ChiefsNFLRavensResolved$1659¢0.0¢-$16
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Biden" during executive order signing events on November 13?MentionsYesResolved$4372¢0.0¢-$43
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$63.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?PoliticsYesResolved$10711¢0.0¢-$107
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?PoliticsNoResolved$34376¢0.0¢-$343
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?MentionsNoResolved$10941¢0.0¢-$109
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will Equifax Inc. (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?EconomyYesResolved$5857¢0.0¢-$58
US recession in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 26?CryptoYesResolved$6432¢0.0¢-$64
Will Taylor Swift say "Tour" 2+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?MentionsYesResolved$4772¢0.0¢-$47
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Tariff" during call with Service Members on November 27?MentionsNoResolved$1664¢0.0¢-$16
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?MentionsNoResolved$11356¢0.0¢-$113
Will Bernie say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?MentionsYesResolved$10857¢0.0¢-$108
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will Trump say "Insane asylum" during Iowa speech?MentionsYesResolved$10258¢0.0¢-$102
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?MentionsNoResolved$3236¢0.0¢-$32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$12118¢0.0¢-$121
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during National Agriculture Day events?MentionsYesResolved$4759¢0.0¢-$47
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" 3+ times during Memphis Roundtable?MentionsYesResolved$1143¢0.0¢-$11
Will xAI have the second best AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?EconomyNoResolved$24959¢0.0¢-$249
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$94.4¢0.0¢-$9
Will anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$3240¢0.0¢-$32
Pirates vs. RedsMLBRedsResolved$1753¢0.0¢-$17
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?MentionsNoResolved$7638¢0.0¢-$76
US government shutdown by October 1?PoliticsNoResolved$3121¢0.0¢-$31
Will Trump say "TikTok" during the Fox News interview on September 18?MentionsNoResolved$9040¢0.0¢-$90
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$7048¢0.0¢-$70
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Holocaust" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?MentionsNoResolved$11342¢0.0¢-$113
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoYesResolved$7839¢0.0¢-$78
Will Bernie say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?MentionsYesResolved$10570¢0.0¢-$105
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?MentionsNoResolved$26348¢0.0¢-$263
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?MentionsYesResolved$1.2K63¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?TechNoResolved$18657¢0.0¢-$186
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$7321¢0.0¢-$73
Will Philip Morris International (PM) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$613¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?MentionsNoResolved$4869¢0.0¢-$48
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?MentionsNoResolved$2623¢0.0¢-$26
Will Trump say "Google" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?MentionsNoResolved$7459¢0.0¢-$74
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1026¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?CryptoNoResolved$916¢0.0¢-$9
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$56.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?MentionsYesResolved$20040¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?MentionsYesResolved$1.2K59¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Turkish president on September 25?MentionsYesResolved$6838¢0.0¢-$68
Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$419¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Traitor" in Rome, GA on February 19?MentionsYesResolved$6060¢0.0¢-$60
Will Trump say "Mexican" or "Mexico" during the DC Crime Press Conference?MentionsNoResolved$2538¢0.0¢-$25
Diamondbacks vs. PadresMLBDiamondbacksResolved$2564¢0.0¢-$25
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$66969¢0.0¢-$669
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?EconomyNoResolved$26443¢0.0¢-$264
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Fed chair announcement?MentionsYesResolved$33745¢0.0¢-$337
Will Trump's UN speech be between 35 and 40 minutes?PoliticsYesResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$82.4¢0.0¢-$8
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" during Tonight Show on October 6?MentionsYesResolved$8278¢0.0¢-$82
Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?MentionsYesResolved$23937¢0.0¢-$239
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsYesResolved$14054¢0.0¢-$140
Astronomer Divorce ParlayCultureYesResolved$3718¢0.0¢-$37
Will Trump say "Hell" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?MentionsNoResolved$5354¢0.0¢-$53
Will Bernie say "Gaza" during CNN town hall on October 15?MentionsNoResolved$4231¢0.0¢-$42
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable?MentionsYesResolved$25748¢0.0¢-$257
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?CryptoYesResolved$42230¢0.0¢-$422
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$969¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?MentionsYesResolved$26074¢0.0¢-$260
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$23843¢0.0¢-$238
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on August 2 at 5PM ET?CryptoNoResolved$1439¢0.0¢-$14
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?MentionsYesResolved$37185¢0.0¢-$371
Will Trump's UN speech be between 40 and 45 minutes?PoliticsYesResolved$827¢0.0¢-$8
Will Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?MentionsYesResolved$7569¢0.0¢-$75
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$258.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?MentionsYesResolved$33778¢0.0¢-$337
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?MentionsYesResolved$3855¢0.0¢-$38
Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?MentionsNoResolved$28584¢0.0¢-$285
Will Trump say "Rubio" or "Vance" during Memphis Roundtable?MentionsYesResolved$7173¢0.0¢-$71
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 31 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$1845¢0.0¢-$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 25?CryptoYesResolved$135.2¢0.0¢-$13
Cardinals vs. 49ersNFLCardinalsResolved$5345¢0.0¢-$53
Will Trump say "Frack" or "Fracking" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?MentionsYesResolved$15552¢0.0¢-$155
Orioles vs. RaysMLBRaysResolved$2043¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US loose jobs in September?EconomyYesResolved$124.2¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?MentionsYesResolved$1.8K84¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?PoliticsYesResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" during Japan troop visit on October 28?MentionsYesResolved$7949¢0.0¢-$79
Will Trump say "Biden" during Fed chair announcement?MentionsYesResolved$2148¢0.0¢-$21
Will Trump say "Space Force" during call with Service Members on November 27?MentionsNoResolved$1358¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will Josh Fields (UF) win the October 4th Sperm racing challenge?Other sportsYesResolved$2424¢0.0¢-$24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2313¢0.0¢-$23
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on November 22?CryptoNoResolved$2412¢0.0¢-$24
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?MentionsNoResolved$5031¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3611¢0.0¢-$36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 11?CryptoYesResolved$83.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?MentionsNoResolved$9032¢0.0¢-$90
Will Kyle Broflovski make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?CultureYesResolved$2355¢0.0¢-$23

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Mentions-$26K
Politics-$2.3K
Crypto+$1.4K
Economy-$983
Tech-$854
NBA-$828
Other sports-$288
Hockey (other)-$266
NFL-$245
MLB-$183
Culture-$159
Finance+$92
Biggest hit
+$1.5K
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?
Toughest beat
-$1.9K
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during New York rally on October 27?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$577d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?$1567d ago
  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.6K7d ago
  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$20014d ago
  • Sold No · Will GameStop acquire eBay?$60514d ago
  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5514d ago
  • Sold No · Will GameStop acquire eBay?$16014d ago
  • Sold No · Will GameStop acquire eBay?$25514d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump say "Biden" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$2517d ago