Defakto

Predicting since Oct 202455 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
World Championships: Switzerland vs. LatviaHockey (other)	SwitzerlandResolved	$30	86¢	100¢	+$5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy	YesResolved	$20	90¢	100¢	+$2
Men's Group C - Germany vs. LatviaHockey (other)	GermanyResolved	$20	76¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?Mentions	YesResolved	$10	81¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	96¢	0.0¢	-$20
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. GermanyHockey (other)	GermanyResolved	$20	55¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Olympics	YesResolved	$10	45¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Olympics	YesResolved	$10	46¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Hockey (other)	YesResolved	$10	46¢	0.0¢	-$10
World Championships: Slovenia vs. CzechiaHockey (other)	CzechiaResolved	$20	95¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Olympics	YesResolved	$10	72¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Hockey (other)	YesResolved	$10	48¢	0.0¢	-$10
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAHockey (other)	CanadaResolved	$10	41¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$250

Hockey (other)+$26

Tech+$26

Mentions+$8

Olympics+$6

Economy+$3

Biggest hit

+$69

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$302mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$492mo ago
Cashed out Slovakia · World Championships: Slovakia vs. Norway$162mo ago
Bought Switzerland · World Championships: Switzerland vs. Latvia$302mo ago
Bought Czechia · World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia$202mo ago
Bought Slovakia · World Championships: Slovakia vs. Norway$102mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$222mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$242mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$432mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$403mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$203mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$203mo ago