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Konfucious

Predicting since Jan 2026710 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.3K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$17363¢68¢+$13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$14294¢97¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$16448¢42¢-$22
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11253¢65¢+$24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$12860¢57¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$10468¢66¢-$4
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$7979¢94¢+$14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8255¢55¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$7986¢88¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$4057¢98¢+$29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$5233¢43¢+$16
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$4945¢49¢+$4
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3630¢39¢+$10
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4227¢27¢+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3774¢76¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$4869¢52¢-$12
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$2855¢66¢+$5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2870¢80¢+$4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$7831¢10¢-$53
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$1956¢70¢+$5
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$1681¢88¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1379¢92¢+$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2338¢13¢-$15
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$611¢4.3¢-$3
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?PoliticsYesResolved$16.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$714¢0.0¢-$7
La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana KäerBoxingKäerResolved$444¢0.0¢-$4
Will Toulon win?Other sportsYesResolved$1416¢0.0¢-$14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2251¢0.0¢-$22
Magic vs. PistonsNBAMagicResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2030¢0.0¢-$20
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World CupNoResolved$76.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$44.4¢0.0¢-$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$47.3¢0.0¢-$4
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?WeatherNoResolved$2134¢0.0¢-$21
Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?PoliticsNoResolved$2269¢0.0¢-$22
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$36.6¢0.0¢-$3
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAKhamzat ChimaevResolved$2080¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?PoliticsNoResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?eSportsYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$1918¢0.0¢-$19
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?MentionsYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will Haiti be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$613¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$620¢0.0¢-$6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?Champions LeagueYesResolved$831¢0.0¢-$8
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?PoliticsYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$3131¢0.0¢-$31
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5141¢0.0¢-$51
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Thunder vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$1119¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?PoliticsNoResolved$8140¢0.0¢-$81
Will Crusaders win?Other sportsYesResolved$715¢0.0¢-$7
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$256.7¢0.0¢-$25
La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero AriasBoxingViruzzResolved$441¢0.0¢-$4
Will Stormers win the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final?Other sportsYesResolved$1414¢0.0¢-$14
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?PoliticsYesResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Pistons vs. CavaliersNBAPistonsResolved$630¢0.0¢-$6
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupEnglandResolved$1154¢0.0¢-$11
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bulls win the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final?Other sportsYesResolved$87.6¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$3.3K
Other-$91
Premier League-$57
Finance+$49
Cricket-$37
Soccer (other)-$35
Economy-$33
Weather+$32
Other sports-$30
La Liga-$21
World Cup+$19
Tech-$18
Biggest hit
+$187
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Toughest beat
-$248
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1138m ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1539m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$141h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$173h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$283h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$193h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$373h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$954h ago
  • Sold No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$1677h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$197h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$137h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$197h ago