← Whale Watch

Elalbe

Predicting since Nov 20244,020 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$1858¢39¢-$6
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3553¢13¢-$27
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$3323¢4.8¢-$26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$1534¢13¢-$9
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$369¢94¢+$1
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$452¢51¢-$0
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsNoResolved$1412¢0.0¢-$14
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAKarol RosaResolved$2653¢0.0¢-$26
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top global Netflix movie this week?CultureNoResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?PoliticsYesResolved$347¢0.0¢-$3
Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$1618¢0.0¢-$16
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)UFC / MMALeon ShahbazyanResolved$926¢0.0¢-$9
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?NHLYesResolved$01.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?CultureNoResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAEric NolanResolved$1139¢0.0¢-$11
UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)UFC / MMATheodor BerggrenResolved$1219¢0.0¢-$12
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMABruno SilvaResolved$1739¢0.0¢-$17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will CD Castellon achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?La LigaYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$640¢0.0¢-$6
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?BundesligaNoResolved$1261¢0.0¢-$12
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAAndre FiliResolved$931¢0.0¢-$9
Spurs vs. KnicksNBASpursResolved$4945¢0.0¢-$49
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?CultureNoResolved$462¢0.0¢-$4
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$318¢0.0¢-$3
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina CaranoUFC / MMACaranoResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAMelissa MullinsResolved$920¢0.0¢-$9
Golden Knights vs. HurricanesNHLGolden KnightsResolved$1741¢0.0¢-$17
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMADerrick LewisResolved$922¢0.0¢-$9
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?TechNoResolved$4711¢0.0¢-$47
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAMelsik BaghdasaryanResolved$927¢0.0¢-$9
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAIon CutelabaResolved$1626¢0.0¢-$16
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?TechNoResolved$1636¢0.0¢-$16
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAMichel PereiraResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMABelal MuhammadResolved$1852¢0.0¢-$18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?TechNoResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAJulius WalkerResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?CultureNoResolved$854¢0.0¢-$8
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be at least $3B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?CultureNoResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAAllan NascimentoResolved$1364¢0.0¢-$13
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?Other sportsNoResolved$857¢0.0¢-$8
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAJingnan XiongResolved$1135¢0.0¢-$11
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAJordan LeavittResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Ebola case in the US by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$629¢0.0¢-$6
Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.5M in April?EconomyYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Innio's market cap be between $20B and $23B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAPolyana VianaResolved$726¢0.0¢-$7
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?FinanceNoResolved$872¢0.0¢-$8
Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAKyoji HoriguchiResolved$3041¢0.0¢-$30
Will Innio's market cap be between $23B and $26B at market close on IPO day?FinanceNoResolved$1679¢0.0¢-$16
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 6.5M and 6.6M in April?EconomyYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsYesResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

UFC / MMA-$229
Tech-$123
Politics-$81
NBA-$49
Culture-$42
Finance-$35
Crypto+$19
NHL-$17
Bundesliga-$12
Other sports-$8
Weather-$6
La Liga-$1
Biggest hit
+$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Toughest beat
-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$181d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$201d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$62d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?$02d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$92d ago
  • Bought No · Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?$03d ago
  • Bought No · Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?$53d ago
  • Bought No · Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?$03d ago
  • Bought No · Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$45d ago