← Whale Watch

LR1

Predicting since Aug 20241,035 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $5.4K riding on Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?.

Biggest hit: +$8.9K on Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$4.4K61¢56¢-$308
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$1.4K77¢83¢+$114
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$75543¢73¢+$526
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2504.4¢8.2¢+$211
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$281.5¢24¢+$398
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$40680¢83¢+$14
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$36145¢52¢+$51
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$26739¢55¢+$106
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢8.8¢+$302
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$30692¢94¢+$7
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$23745¢50¢+$25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢14¢+$229
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$24479¢67¢-$39
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$20746¢45¢-$7
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$19798¢98¢+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.7¢79¢+$186
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$15276¢69¢-$13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$15276¢69¢-$13
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8484¢94¢+$10
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢5.1¢+$76
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$4121¢44¢+$46
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$220.7¢2.6¢+$62
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$18243¢20¢-$99
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$5688¢94¢+$3
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?PoliticsYes$5990¢90¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$213.0¢8.3¢+$37
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢1.6¢+$32
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4661¢74¢+$10
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$5391¢95¢+$2
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsYes$394.0¢5.5¢+$14
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4270¢87¢+$10
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$6510¢7.5¢-$16
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$400.8¢0.9¢+$5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢2.4¢+$28
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$21.8¢44¢+$39
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢2.1¢+$24
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.9¢+$10
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3216¢18¢+$3
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$210.7¢1.1¢+$13
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$220.7¢1.1¢+$11
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.9¢+$6
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$5025¢16¢-$19
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2538¢42¢+$2
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$160.7¢1.1¢+$11
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢1.6¢+$14
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.9¢+$5
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$230.8¢0.9¢+$3
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.7¢-$2
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.7¢-$2
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.7¢-$2
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$250.7¢0.7¢-$1
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$28721¢1.7¢-$264
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$233.0¢3.0¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$189.0¢11¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?PoliticsYes$1982¢94¢+$3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$60.7¢2.4¢+$15
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.7¢-$2
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.5¢-$5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40.6¢2.9¢+$16
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢1.1¢+$7
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$71.0¢2.8¢+$13
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢1.1¢+$5
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$97.3¢14¢+$9
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1780¢87¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$189.0¢8.9¢-$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.5¢-$5
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$97.3¢14¢+$8
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$97.3¢14¢+$8
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.4¢-$9
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$97.3¢12¢+$6
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$160.7¢0.7¢-$1
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$189.0¢7.5¢-$3
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$97.3¢12¢+$5
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.4¢-$8
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1352¢52¢+$0
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.7¢5.5¢+$11
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢0.7¢-$2
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$92.2¢2.8¢+$2
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$832¢43¢+$3
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$141.5¢1.1¢-$4
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$189.0¢4.7¢-$9
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.3¢-$16
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$160.7¢0.4¢-$8
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$160.7¢0.4¢-$8
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$71.0¢1.1¢+$1
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40.6¢1.1¢+$4
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPoliticsYes$28721¢0.5¢-$280
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.7¢3.1¢+$6
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40.6¢0.9¢+$3
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$615¢16¢+$0
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢0.4¢-$7
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢0.4¢-$7
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢0.4¢-$7
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.1¢-$20
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.1¢-$20
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.1¢-$20
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.1¢-$20
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.1¢-$20
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.1¢-$20
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.7¢0.1¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$15K
Weather+$3.6K
Culture+$3.6K
Mentions+$1.6K
Economy-$1.5K
Tech+$1.3K
World Cup-$1.0K
Crypto-$462
Boxing+$392
Soccer (other)-$263
Finance+$168
Olympics+$122
Biggest hit
+$8.9K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$7.8K
US government shutdown Saturday?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$182d ago
  • Sold No · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$892d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8006d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7006d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2007d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11610d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40610d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$7510d ago