← Whale Watch

rolodexoperator

Predicting since Jun 20252,928 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $13K on Tech markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $1.5K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?.

Biggest hit: +$5.8K on Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.5K15¢16¢+$92
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?PoliticsYes$51325¢50¢+$504
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$77431¢33¢+$45
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$45419¢25¢+$138
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$51712¢14¢+$57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$38120¢24¢+$66
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5407.4¢5.8¢-$120
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$61211¢7.5¢-$195
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNo$37188¢90¢+$6
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsYes$49754¢40¢-$129
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$39213¢12¢-$40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$34412¢13¢+$8
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$3666.1¢5.0¢-$66
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$18653¢82¢+$100
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$42419¢13¢-$146
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$27597¢97¢+$0
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechNo$17844¢67¢+$91
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$13921¢35¢+$98
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechYes$22613¢9.5¢-$55
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$17111¢9.5¢-$26
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?TechYes$7431¢56¢+$60
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$2938.8¢3.9¢-$165
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?TechNo$10960¢66¢+$12
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$9648¢58¢+$20
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?PoliticsNo$12284¢78¢-$9
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1623.7¢2.4¢-$57
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsYes$984.9¢5.2¢+$6
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?PoliticsYes$11419¢18¢-$10
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.5¢20¢+$85
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$1163.9¢2.5¢-$41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$961.2¢0.8¢-$32
Iran coup attempt by December 31?PoliticsYes$7114¢13¢-$8
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?PoliticsYes$14820¢8.5¢-$86
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsYes$17711¢3.8¢-$119
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$28913¢2.5¢-$233
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsYes$504.9¢5.1¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$4896¢100¢+$2
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? PoliticsYes$12119¢8.1¢-$71
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$857.4¢4.3¢-$35
Will Sam Neill be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢10¢+$40
Will Jesse Jackson be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢10¢+$40
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1153.0¢1.1¢-$73
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$536.0¢4.5¢-$13
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$544.9¢3.4¢-$16
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$570.2¢0.1¢-$20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$500.9¢0.7¢-$14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsYes$273.8¢4.3¢+$3
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$1195.2¢1.3¢-$89
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$121.2¢2.8¢+$16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$28214¢1.4¢-$254
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$173.2¢4.9¢+$9
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$420.3¢0.1¢-$18
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1183.9¢0.8¢-$94
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$380.4¢0.3¢-$14
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$225.9¢6.3¢+$1
Will Kyle Busch be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢4.6¢+$15
Will Valentino Garavani be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢4.5¢+$14
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$110.7¢1.1¢+$9
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$464.3¢1.8¢-$26
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$297.0¢4.9¢-$9
Will Bonnie Tyler be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢4.3¢+$13
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNo$1994¢97¢+$1
Will Eric Dane be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢4.1¢+$12
Will Clive Davis be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢4.1¢+$12
Will Victor Willis be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢4.0¢+$12
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$291.8¢1.1¢-$11
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$416.2¢2.6¢-$24
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?PoliticsYes$328.9¢4.8¢-$15
Will Alan Greenspan be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢3.7¢+$11
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$382.8¢1.2¢-$22
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$330.3¢0.1¢-$18
Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢3.0¢+$7
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?NBANo$856¢99¢+$6
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$170.3¢0.3¢-$5
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$323.3¢1.3¢-$20
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$151.6¢1.1¢-$5
Will Nicholas Brendon be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢2.1¢+$3
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$70.3¢0.4¢+$3
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$60.3¢0.4¢+$3
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$82.8¢2.8¢-$0
Will David Hockney be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢1.6¢+$1
Will Robert Duvall be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢1.6¢+$1
Will Scott Adams be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢1.6¢+$1
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.5¢1.6¢+$0
Will James Van Der Beek be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢1.4¢-$0
Will Bob Weir be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢1.4¢-$0
Will Ted Turner be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$71.4¢1.4¢-$0
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$60.6¢0.5¢-$0
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?TechYes$165.2¢1.7¢-$11
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$60.3¢0.3¢-$1
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$21.4¢3.4¢+$3
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechYes$31.4¢2.6¢+$2
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$50.5¢0.4¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceYes$202.0¢0.4¢-$16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$457.0¢0.5¢-$41
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$40.4¢0.4¢-$1
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$123.6¢1.1¢-$8
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?PoliticsYes$48.0¢7.5¢-$0
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?PoliticsNo$382¢85¢+$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$222¢31¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech+$13K
Culture+$4.3K
Politics+$2.2K
Other sports+$307
Crypto+$286
Mentions+$106
NBA-$64
Finance-$19
Boxing-$15
Formula 1-$13
Weather+$11
College Football-$11
Biggest hit
+$5.8K
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$80027m ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by July 31?$5639m ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1746m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$171h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$401h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$211h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2071h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$261h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$2756h ago
  • MERGE Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$3.3K6h ago