 Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $70 | 20¢ | 69¢ | +$176 |
 Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?Crypto | No | $145 | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$34 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Culture | No | $141 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$19 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $152 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?Politics | No | $149 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $131 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?Politics | No | $136 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $131 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $135 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
 Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $98 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$41 |
 Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $132 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $132 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $123 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $131 | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $119 | 50¢ | 55¢ | +$12 |
 Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $145 | 79¢ | 70¢ | -$17 |
 Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?Crypto | No | $122 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $81 | 63¢ | 98¢ | +$45 |
 Kash Patel out by July 31?Politics | No | $113 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $121 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
 Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $118 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 40¢ | 93¢ | +$69 |
 Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $116 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$4 |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | No | $101 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $116 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | No | $94 | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$24 |
 Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by July 31?Politics | No | $100 | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
 Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $112 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $102 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$7 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?Crypto | No | $96 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Economy | No | $106 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $62 | 39¢ | 67¢ | +$44 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $102 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | No | $86 | 73¢ | 88¢ | +$19 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $80 | 69¢ | 90¢ | +$24 |
 Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?Culture | Yes | $85 | 32¢ | 39¢ | +$18 |
 Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $93 | 63¢ | 70¢ | +$10 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?Economy | No | $68 | 59¢ | 88¢ | +$33 |
 Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?Crypto | No | $88 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
 Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $93 | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$7 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $88 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$12 |
 Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchCrypto | No | $118 | 82¢ | 69¢ | -$18 |
 Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$18 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $77 | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $89 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Crypto | No | $89 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $92 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$5 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?Economy | No | $120 | 92¢ | 74¢ | -$23 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $66 | 64¢ | 93¢ | +$29 |
| Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other | No | $80 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $85 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | No | $87 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $86 | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$7 |
 Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?Culture | No | $83 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$10 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 62¢ | 73¢ | +$14 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | No | $83 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $89 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $24 | 25¢ | 94¢ | +$66 |
 Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Politics | No | $87 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | No | $67 | 65¢ | 87¢ | +$22 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $76 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$12 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $85 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | No | $85 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $78 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$9 |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 71¢ | 82¢ | +$11 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | No | $88 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $83 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $68 | 72¢ | 91¢ | +$18 |
 Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $81 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$6 |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $95 | 57¢ | 52¢ | -$10 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $86 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?Finance | No | $80 | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $73 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | No | $69 | 63¢ | 78¢ | +$16 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $84 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Economy | No | $68 | 51¢ | 65¢ | +$17 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $58 | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$26 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Politics | No | $53 | 57¢ | 90¢ | +$31 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?Finance | No | $82 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?Finance | No | $68 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$15 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $83 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 82¢ | -$7 |
 Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $53 | 28¢ | 44¢ | +$28 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $65 | 69¢ | 85¢ | +$15 |
 Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $55 | 43¢ | 62¢ | +$24 |
 Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $51 | 48¢ | 75¢ | +$28 |
 Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$11 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$18 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?Economy | No | $79 | 76¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?Tech | No | $63 | 79¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
 Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | No | $75 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $78 | 42¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by July 31?Crypto | No | $22 | 28¢ | 98¢ | +$54 |
 Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?Politics | No | $29 | 21¢ | 54¢ | +$46 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $74 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $70 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
Bought No · Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?$193m ago
Bought Yes · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$27m ago
Bought Yes · Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?$47m ago
Bought No · Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$38m ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?$3214m ago
Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?$814m ago
Bought No · Tom Holland as Spider-Man?$517m ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$223m ago