← Whale Watch

Kakarovich

Predicting since May 2025787 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?EconomyYesResolved$514¢100¢+$29
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$171¢81¢+$0
Spread: Army (-7.5)Other sportsConnecticutResolved$1350¢0.0¢-$13
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 50% and 52%?PoliticsYesResolved$1317¢0.0¢-$13
Predators vs. BluesNHLPredatorsResolved$1450¢0.0¢-$14
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5NFLOverResolved$10151¢0.0¢-$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp. not IPO before April 2026?FinanceYesResolved$624¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$848¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1646¢0.0¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 13?CryptoYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Timberwolves vs. HawksNBATimberwolvesResolved$38.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 9?CryptoYesResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$847¢0.0¢-$8
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be greater than $1.0B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Austria win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be below 50%?PoliticsYesResolved$45.2¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$937¢0.0¢-$9
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on February 9?CryptoYesResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$844¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$448¢0.0¢-$4
Flyers vs. FlamesNHLFlyersResolved$1125¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2339¢0.0¢-$23
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1141¢0.0¢-$11
Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 8?CryptoYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on February 11?CryptoYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?FinanceYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.25B and $8.50B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1043¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$948¢0.0¢-$9
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 8?CryptoYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$634¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Michael Pratt be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?PoliticsYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$841¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1141¢0.0¢-$11
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?CultureYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $152-$154 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?FinanceYesResolved$22.4¢0.0¢-$2
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1335¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on February 8?CryptoYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueNoResolved$1532¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$745¢0.0¢-$7
Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$1332¢0.0¢-$13
Will "Alone" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (February 10)CultureYesResolved$46.0¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$851¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Will Meta (META) close at $700-$710 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?FinanceYesResolved$22.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Mo Gilligan: In the Moment" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (February 10)CultureYesResolved$34.6¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$849¢0.0¢-$8
Will Avery Krumme (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?CultureYesResolved$4960¢0.0¢-$49
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 15?CryptoYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on February 14?CryptoYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$746¢0.0¢-$7
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on February 10?CryptoYesResolved$7721¢0.0¢-$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$845¢0.0¢-$8
Will Xosha Roquemore win Best Supporting Performance (TV) at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?CultureYesResolved$1121¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Eagles vs. BillsNFLBillsResolved$4319¢0.0¢-$43
Will Bloc Républicain (BR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$60.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$720¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on February 15?CryptoYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Army (-8.5)Other sportsConnecticutResolved$1252¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Magic vs. PacersNBAPacersResolved$1131¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$846¢0.0¢-$8
Will Gus Kenworthy (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1041¢0.0¢-$10
Senators vs. Maple LeafsNHLSenatorsResolved$1455¢0.0¢-$14
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $154-$156 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?FinanceYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 13?CryptoYesResolved$722¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$542¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$355.5¢0.0¢-$35
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be less than $750M at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Will Larry Rubin be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?PoliticsYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on February 13?CryptoYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1452¢0.0¢-$14
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $3.8B and $4.2B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$608
NFL-$430
Culture-$382
Soccer (other)-$360
Politics-$321
Finance-$132
NBA+$125
Economy-$85
Premier League-$61
NHL-$37
Other sports+$15
College Football-$7
Biggest hit
+$111
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?
Toughest beat
-$199
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$355mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?$05mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Carmen Montiel be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?$15mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?$15mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be between 110k and 125k?$05mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be between 95k and 110k?$05mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Tití Me Preguntó - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$05mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$25mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Nick Goepper (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$25mo ago
  • Sold No · Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?$25mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be between 50k and 65k?$25mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$25mo ago