aradmusk

Predicting since Aug 202537 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will a dozen eggs be above $4.50 in August?Economy	YesResolved	$10	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Oklahoma State vs. OregonOther sports	Oklahoma StateResolved	$10	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?MLB	YesResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 14?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin above $122K on September 10?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$10	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-12?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin above $122K on September 3?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin above $116K on September 3?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Estonia win on 2025-09-05?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$20	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$20
Ohio vs. Ohio StateOther sports	OhioResolved	$10	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Rangers vs. MetsMLB	MetsResolved	$10	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$10	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 14?Crypto	YesResolved	$50	10¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?MLB	YesResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on September 18?Crypto	YesResolved	$25	11¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on September 17?Crypto	YesResolved	$25	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 8?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin above $118K on September 5?Crypto	YesResolved	$50	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$50
UTEP vs. TexasOther sports	UTEPResolved	$10	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 18?Crypto	YesResolved	$25	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 18?Crypto	YesResolved	$25	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$10	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$65	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$65
Will Iceland win on 2025-09-09?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$10	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon tweet between 600 and 649 times September 1–30?Culture	YesResolved	$10	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$10
Ethereum above $4800 on September 3?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 17?Crypto	YesResolved	$25	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?MLB	YesResolved	$10	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the price of Solana be above $250 on September 13 at 12AM ET?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Moldova win on 2025-09-09?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$10	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$430

Politics-$105

Soccer (other)-$80

MLB-$40

Other sports-$30

Economy-$10

Culture-$10

Toughest beat

-$100

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$6511mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$011mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 17?$011mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Fed rate cut by December meeting?$011mo ago
Bought No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$10011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 18?$251y ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 18?$251y ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on September 18?$251y ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 17?$351y ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 17?$251y ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on September 17?$251y ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Solana be above $250 on September 13 at 12AM ET?$101y ago