Pawel.K · Whale Watch

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Pawel.K

Predicting since Apr 202528 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $652 riding on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$652	1.7¢	0.9¢	-$291
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$50	28¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	16¢	0.0¢	-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?World Cup	YesResolved	$5	15¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup	YesResolved	$6	37¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$3	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$3
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao?World Cup	YesResolved	$5	10¢	0.0¢	-$5
NATO article 5 in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$82	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$82
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$11	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$196

World Cup-$99

Biggest hit

+$132

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Toughest beat

-$35

Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-14?$112d ago
Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-14?$512d ago