← Whale Watch

Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C5

Predicting since Apr 2026306 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3295¢93¢-$1
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3195¢93¢-$1
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2690¢90¢+$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$2386¢88¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$2296¢97¢+$0
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$2298¢96¢-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$2096¢94¢-$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$1789¢86¢-$1
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$1593¢94¢+$0
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$1590¢89¢-$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1588¢88¢-$0
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1290¢92¢+$0
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$1297¢94¢-$0
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$234.3¢2.2¢-$11
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1295¢95¢-$0
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1188¢87¢-$0
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$1197¢95¢-$0
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$1099¢99¢+$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1092¢92¢-$0
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?PoliticsNo$1095¢95¢-$0
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?PoliticsYes$1078¢71¢-$1
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?PoliticsYes$997¢97¢-$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$791¢92¢+$0
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$897¢90¢-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$739¢38¢-$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$774¢75¢+$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$791¢90¢-$0
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$795¢82¢-$1
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$690¢90¢-$0
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$580¢81¢+$0
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$590¢87¢-$0
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$585¢87¢+$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢97¢+$0
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢98¢+$0
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?PoliticsNo$596¢93¢-$0
Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$593¢96¢+$0
Will NRPUP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsYes$593¢95¢+$0
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$592¢93¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$595¢97¢+$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$595¢95¢-$0
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsYes$595¢94¢-$0
Will Baytaq win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$599¢100¢+$0
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$551¢52¢+$0
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$598¢99¢+$0
Haiti elections delayed again?PoliticsYes$598¢99¢+$0
Will Oleg Melnichenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$595¢95¢+$0
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$591¢91¢-$0
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$596¢96¢-$0
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$598¢97¢-$0
Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$599¢98¢-$0
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$597¢96¢-$0
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsNo$576¢76¢-$0
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢96¢-$0
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢96¢-$0
Will CF win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsNo$599¢98¢-$0
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$595¢94¢-$0
Will Alexey Russkikh win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$598¢97¢-$0
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNo$599¢98¢-$0
Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsYes$599¢98¢-$0
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$598¢97¢-$0
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$590¢89¢-$0
Will Vladislav Khovalyg win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$598¢96¢-$0
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsNo$599¢96¢-$0
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsNo$595¢93¢-$0
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?CryptoNo$584¢80¢-$0
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$593¢94¢+$0
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$591¢89¢-$0
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$596¢93¢-$0
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?PoliticsYes$591¢93¢+$0
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$598¢94¢-$0
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$596¢92¢-$0
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$598¢93¢-$0
Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$597¢92¢-$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?PoliticsNo$5100¢94¢-$0
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$588¢87¢-$0
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$590¢89¢-$0
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$593¢88¢-$0
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherYes$487¢87¢-$0
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsNo$589¢79¢-$1
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$493¢91¢-$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$381¢86¢+$0
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsNo$19855¢0.9¢-$194
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsNo$387¢87¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$355¢56¢+$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$393¢92¢-$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$385¢90¢+$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$370¢69¢-$0
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$295¢94¢-$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?PoliticsYes$92.0¢0.5¢-$7
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$298¢96¢-$0
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$290¢89¢-$0
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?PoliticsNo$298¢99¢+$0
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?PoliticsNo$296¢94¢-$0
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$293¢92¢-$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$290¢89¢-$0
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$294¢88¢-$0
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherYes$358¢33¢-$1
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$23.4¢2.6¢-$0
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$85.2¢1.0¢-$6
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$12.5¢3.0¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$977
Weather-$1
Finance-$0
Crypto-$0
Tech+$0
World Cup+$0
Other-$0
Biggest hit
+$3
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$92
Will JSDP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$537m ago
  • Bought No · Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$555m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?$51h ago
  • Sold No · Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$53h ago
  • Bought No · Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$55h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?$55h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?$16h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$56h ago
  • Sold No · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$56h ago
  • Sold No · Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$56h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?$512h ago
  • Sold Yes · Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?$113h ago