serjar

Predicting since Jul 2025145 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.1K on Culture markets since Jul 2025.

Biggest hit: +$6.5K on Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$52	86¢	100¢	+$9
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$3	81¢	100¢	+$1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$15	30¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Politics	NoResolved	$153	51¢	0.0¢	-$153
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Culture	YesResolved	$8	28¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$56	54¢	0.0¢	-$56
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?Weather	NoResolved	$32	90¢	0.0¢	-$32
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	19¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech	YesResolved	$47	58¢	0.0¢	-$47
Google Gemini ParlayTech	YesResolved	$7	18¢	0.0¢	-$7
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	19¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?Champions League	NoResolved	$3	54¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Crypto	YesResolved	$36	21¢	0.0¢	-$36

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$2.1K

Crypto-$700

Champions League+$151

Premier League+$80

Tech+$76

Politics-$57

Weather-$30

La Liga+$21

Boxing-$15

Soccer (other)-$15

Formula 1+$15

Tennis+$5

Biggest hit

+$6.5K

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Toughest beat

-$6.4K

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Cashed out Yes · Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$15mo ago
MERGE Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$335mo ago
Cashed out No · Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$05mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$155mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$85mo ago
Bought No · Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$96mo ago
Bought No · Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$16mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$06mo ago
Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$06mo ago
MERGE Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$716mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$146mo ago