 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7.9K | 53¢ | 14¢ | -$5.9K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 18¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2.3K |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $720 | 29¢ | 9.5¢ | -$485 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $387 | 12¢ | 7.1¢ | -$156 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $237 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$20 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $85 | 48¢ | 88¢ | +$71 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 2.1¢ | 4.5¢ | +$37 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | -$14 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $129 | 91¢ | 26¢ | -$93 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | Yes | $34 | 1.8¢ | 1.3¢ | -$11 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 73¢ | 34¢ | -$23 |
 Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 9.0¢ | 41¢ | +$11 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$9 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $10 | 8.9¢ | 3.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 8.1¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $113 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?Tech | NoResolved | $11 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $705 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$705 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $163 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?Politics | YesResolved | $105 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
 Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5.6K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.6K |
 Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $37 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Politics | YesResolved | $601 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$601 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2.4K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $145 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $378 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$378 |
 Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Mentions | NoResolved | $62 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $173 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$173 |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $400 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $187 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$187 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $65 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics | NoResolved | $138 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Tech | NoResolved | $240 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $258 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$258 |
 Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Mentions | NoResolved | $37 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $92 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$92 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $510 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$510 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2.2K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $574 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$574 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovBoxing | MakhmudovResolved | $17 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $82 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Tech | NoResolved | $37 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5.2K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.2K |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will Moonshot have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $12 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Politics | YesResolved | $153 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$153 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $110 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.8K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Tech | YesResolved | $32 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $420 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$420 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Tech | YesResolved | $446 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$446 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.8K | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $2.4K | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $592 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$592 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $21 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $269 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$269 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $105 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $488 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$488 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $886 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$886 |
 Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?$417d ago
Cashed out Yes · Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?$7419d ago
Bought Yes · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?$15222d ago