← Whale Watch

ProfitMuhammedPBUH

Predicting since Feb 2026840 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $65K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $63K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$39K on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$27K21¢20¢-$2.3K
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$7.9K53¢21¢-$4.8K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$3.4K13¢7.5¢-$1.4K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.6K4.0¢4.9¢+$357
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$3.6K18¢8.5¢-$1.9K
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$719.8¢100¢+$649
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K29¢12¢-$831
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$38712¢16¢+$129
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$36222¢25¢+$36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$6362.1¢0.8¢-$411
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$8548¢68¢+$36
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$11353¢46¢-$15
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$322.1¢5.4¢+$50
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$12991¢36¢-$79
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$5013¢11¢-$10
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$4473¢59¢-$8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$130.5¢1.2¢+$19
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$10111¢2.1¢-$81
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?TechYes$39.0¢40¢+$11
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBAYes$98414¢0.1¢-$973
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$2340¢18¢-$13
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?TechYes$14037¢2.8¢-$130
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$6722¢1.7¢-$62
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$108.9¢3.4¢-$6
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$632¢20¢-$2
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBAYes$470.7¢0.1¢-$44
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?NBAYes$50.1¢0.1¢-$3
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$230¢32¢+$0
Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31?TechYes$18.1¢16¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?NBAYes$210.8¢0.1¢-$20
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?TechNoResolved$111.1¢0.0¢-$11
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$70511¢0.0¢-$705
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K25¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$71.4¢0.0¢-$7
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16314¢0.0¢-$163
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?PoliticsYesResolved$1052.1¢0.0¢-$105
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5.6K14¢0.0¢-$5.6K
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2524¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?PoliticsYesResolved$6014.7¢0.0¢-$601
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.4K17¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$14574¢0.0¢-$145
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3992¢0.0¢-$39
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$34315¢0.0¢-$343
Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Wednesday?MentionsNoResolved$6248¢0.0¢-$62
US strike on Colombia by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1733.8¢0.0¢-$173
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechNoResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20043¢0.0¢-$200
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1875.1¢0.0¢-$187
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2413¢0.0¢-$24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?PoliticsNoResolved$13858¢0.0¢-$138
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?TechNoResolved$24026¢0.0¢-$240
Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)MentionsNoResolved$3749¢0.0¢-$37
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9255¢0.0¢-$92
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$95.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1312¢0.0¢-$13
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?FinanceYesResolved$23216¢0.0¢-$232
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K28¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$362.4¢0.0¢-$36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$57412¢0.0¢-$574
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?TechNoResolved$22.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16.9¢0.0¢-$1
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovBoxingMakhmudovResolved$715¢0.0¢-$7
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$8212¢0.0¢-$82
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?TechNoResolved$373.0¢0.0¢-$37
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4.2K40¢0.0¢-$4.2K
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K8.2¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Moonshot have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$120.6¢0.0¢-$12
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1640¢0.0¢-$16
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$15314¢0.0¢-$153
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$11013¢0.0¢-$110
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?TechNoResolved$917¢0.0¢-$9
US strike on Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K5.1¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$319.6¢0.0¢-$31
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$52.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$314.3¢0.0¢-$31
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3074.3¢0.0¢-$307
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$537.7¢0.0¢-$53
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?TechYesResolved$3211¢0.0¢-$32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20011¢0.0¢-$200
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$42020¢0.0¢-$420
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$44.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$146.1¢0.0¢-$14
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?TechYesResolved$44625¢0.0¢-$446
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.8K65¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$2.4K8.0¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$93.5¢0.0¢-$9
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$62.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?FinanceYesResolved$964.6¢0.0¢-$96
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$9912¢0.0¢-$99
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9663¢0.0¢-$96
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$422.9¢0.0¢-$42
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$43.5¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$65K
Tech+$17K
Mentions+$16K
Crypto+$13K
eSports+$1.8K
Culture-$1.0K
Finance+$837
NBA-$550
UFC / MMA+$107
Economy+$53
World Cup+$31
Boxing-$7
Biggest hit
+$39K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$21K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1682d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$4172d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?$53d ago
  • Bought Yes · US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?$23d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$564d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 21?$104d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$544d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$1694d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$54d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$164d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$44d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$44d ago