caipiao

Predicting since Aug 20256,438 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto	No	$45	89¢	89¢	+$0
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Crypto	No	$42	85¢	89¢	+$2
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06?MLS	Yes	$6	21¢	45¢	+$7
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto	Yes	$9	20¢	23¢	+$1
SlingshotDAO FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto	No	$4	50¢	72¢	+$2
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$8	15¢	8.5¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$4	86¢	0.0¢	-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 1PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$104

Politics+$30

Mentions+$25

NFL-$14

MLS+$7

Economy-$6

NBA-$5

Other sports+$4

Golf-$4

Basketball (other)-$3

Tennis+$2

eSports-$2

Biggest hit

+$7

Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?

Toughest beat

-$2

Guardians vs. Diamondbacks

Recent moves

Bought No · SlingshotDAO FDV above $50M one day after launch?$420d ago
Bought No · Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$4220d ago
Bought Yes · Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1020d ago
Bought Yes · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$820d ago
Bought No · Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$4520d ago
Sold Linda Noskova · Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova$522d ago
Bought Linda Noskova · Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova$622d ago
Sold No · Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$222d ago
Bought No · Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$222d ago
Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$522d ago
Sold Bilibili Gaming · LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$222d ago
Sold Bilibili Gaming · LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$222d ago