← Whale Watch

arcanecapital

Predicting since Sep 2025131 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$3754¢69¢+$10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$4982¢80¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4589¢92¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$3264¢72¢+$4
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$3280¢83¢+$1
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?WeatherNo$3194¢87¢-$3
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1631¢53¢+$11
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?WeatherNo$1892¢96¢+$1
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechAnthropic$1681¢89¢+$2
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?PoliticsNo$1889¢89¢-$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1472¢79¢+$1
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$1420¢21¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1641¢36¢-$2
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?TechNo$878¢93¢+$1
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?WeatherYes$845¢47¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$724¢16¢-$2
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$612¢8.5¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$99
Weather+$83
Culture+$26
Economy-$19
Crypto+$2
Finance+$2
Tech-$2
Premier League+$1
Biggest hit
+$62
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Toughest beat
-$55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$161d ago
  • Sold No · Iran Nuke before 2027?$461d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$31d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$291d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$81d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$141d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$73d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$03d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$03d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$03d ago
  • Bought Nothing · Nothing Ever Happens: July$44d ago
  • Bought Nothing · Nothing Ever Happens: July$154d ago