arcanecapital

Predicting since Sep 2025149 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

No PnL history available for this account.

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$66	83¢	87¢	+$3
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics	No	$56	93¢	96¢	+$2
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics	No	$51	86¢	89¢	+$2
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$45	89¢	96¢	+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$41	66¢	77¢	+$7
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics	No	$16	40¢	85¢	+$18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$28	70¢	85¢	+$6
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics	No	$26	64¢	75¢	+$4
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$25	82¢	90¢	+$2
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$10	20¢	52¢	+$16
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Politics	No	$18	71¢	80¢	+$2
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Weather	No	$18	92¢	98¢	+$1
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech	Anthropic	$16	81¢	95¢	+$3
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics	No	$18	89¢	95¢	+$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	Yes	$9	19¢	25¢	+$3
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics	No	$6	64¢	99¢	+$3
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$8	78¢	97¢	+$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$8	80¢	61¢	-$2
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	6.0¢	4.7¢	-$1
Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$55	62¢	0.0¢	-$55
Duane Keith Davis convicted of Tupac's murder?Politics	NoResolved	$7	12¢	0.0¢	-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather+$143

Politics+$78

Culture+$26

Tech+$22

Economy-$19

Crypto+$2

Finance+$2

Premier League+$1

Biggest hit

+$62

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Toughest beat

-$55

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$42d ago
Sold No · Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?$148d ago
Bought No · Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?$49d ago
Bought No · Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?$49d ago
Sold No · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$810d ago
Sold Yes · Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$214d ago