semipol

Predicting since Jul 202564 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.3K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $5.0K riding on Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?.

Biggest hit: +$4.1K on Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$830	37¢	6.5¢	-$685
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics	Yes	$768	44¢	7.0¢	-$646
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$36	0.9¢	0.1¢	-$31
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$142	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$142
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$470	47¢	0.0¢	-$470
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$250	8.3¢	0.0¢	-$250
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech	YesResolved	$140	14¢	0.0¢	-$140
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$44	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$110	14¢	0.0¢	-$110
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$32	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$32
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?Politics	NoResolved	$79	7.9¢	0.0¢	-$79
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$220	22¢	0.0¢	-$220
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5.0K	41¢	0.0¢	-$5.0K
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$57	22¢	0.0¢	-$57

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$4.3K

Tech-$781

Biggest hit

+$4.1K

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Toughest beat

-$800

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?