← Whale Watch

vamnizar

Predicting since Jan 20253,105 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $41K on Politics markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $2.6K across 30 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$2.2K87¢88¢+$20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$50050¢80¢+$298
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$886.7¢25¢+$244
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsYes$30512¢12¢-$15
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$223.0¢28¢+$181
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$50050¢20¢-$298
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$19823¢20¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$502.1¢5.5¢+$80
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$8864¢81¢+$23
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$242.8¢12¢+$80
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$3914¢26¢+$33
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechYes$10334¢19¢-$46
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$341.2¢1.9¢+$19
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?PoliticsYes$4830¢33¢+$5
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3879.7¢1.2¢-$339
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?PoliticsYes$6616¢11¢-$22
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$3328¢30¢+$2
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$3294¢100¢+$2
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?FinanceYes$5025¢14¢-$22
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$1599¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$211.4¢0.7¢-$10
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1234.3¢0.3¢-$115
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$1716¢7.5¢-$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$23023¢0.7¢-$224
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$648.3¢0.4¢-$61
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$160.8¢0.1¢-$15
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8569.9¢0.0¢-$856
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$381.1¢0.0¢-$38
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in January 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$222.0¢0.0¢-$22
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$253.4¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$89239¢0.0¢-$892
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$173.4¢0.0¢-$17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$213.4¢0.0¢-$21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$833.4¢0.0¢-$83
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will a major Philippines earthquake and related tsunami alerts be the #1 searched news on Google this year?TechYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$247.6¢0.0¢-$24
2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?WeatherYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$122.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$120.4¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$963.0¢0.0¢-$96
Will Elon tweet 425–449 times August 15–August 22?PoliticsYesResolved$397.1¢0.0¢-$39
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Sunday?PoliticsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 18–25?CultureYesResolved$100.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$863.8¢0.0¢-$86
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$445.6¢0.0¢-$44
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$52.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$122.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$170.1¢0.0¢-$17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$601.5¢0.0¢-$60
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$110.7¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$382.2¢0.0¢-$38
2025 September third hottest on record?WeatherYesResolved$72039¢0.0¢-$720
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4529¢0.0¢-$45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$244.0¢0.0¢-$24
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$232.0¢0.0¢-$23
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$413.8¢0.0¢-$41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$38812¢0.0¢-$388
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$250.7¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$60.4¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$29433¢0.0¢-$294
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$40.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$220.4¢0.0¢-$22
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$343.4¢0.0¢-$34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$213.4¢0.0¢-$21
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$926.3¢0.0¢-$92
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$80.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$282.6¢0.0¢-$28
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$732.0¢0.0¢-$73
Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?PoliticsYesResolved$80.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in December 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$242.0¢0.0¢-$24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$99059¢0.0¢-$990
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$263.4¢0.0¢-$26
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$92.9¢0.0¢-$9
Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$240.7¢0.0¢-$24
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$430.3¢0.0¢-$43
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$311.4¢0.0¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$301.2¢0.0¢-$30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$180.9¢0.0¢-$18
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$310.8¢0.0¢-$31
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$1733¢0.0¢-$17
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$130.3¢0.0¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$41K
Weather-$1.7K
Culture-$1.5K
Other-$401
Economy-$147
Mentions-$48
Other sports+$20
Finance-$12
Tech-$12
Champions League-$1
Crypto+$0
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?$1510h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?$4910h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?$2110h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?$011h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$3911h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?$3711h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?$1111h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?$3411h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?$4611h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?$11d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?$11d ago