← Whale Watch

0xaf7FC9CC6d53A5f8161E2070444Ae362B26146eB-1770914477456

Predicting since Feb 2026336 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$3036¢26¢-$9
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$55.6¢4.2¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$10.4¢0.7¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$17.6¢17¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$17.3¢17¢+$1
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$723¢0.0¢-$7
Will Mamdani say "Free Bus" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?MentionsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?PoliticsYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Sport" during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$24.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsNoResolved$13.1¢0.0¢-$1
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Data Center" in March?MentionsNoResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 12?FinanceUpResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "World Cup" during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Trap" during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?World CupYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?CryptoYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?CryptoYesResolved$54.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$52.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $195?FinanceYesResolved$19.3¢0.0¢-$1
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$181¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)World CupNetherlandsResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Delcy" or "Rodriguez" during events with Brazilian president?MentionsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffseSportsBNK FEARXResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechNoResolved$431¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$633¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$15.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?TechNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6341¢0.0¢-$63
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?World CupYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Dictator" or "Maduro" during Miami address?MentionsYesResolved$166¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Donate" or "Donated" during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$343¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$17.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House Press Briefing?MentionsYesResolved$169¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Sick person" this week? (February 22)MentionsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?World CupYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Football" this week?MentionsYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?CultureYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$16.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$345¢0.0¢-$3
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?NFLYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?PoliticsNoResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president?MentionsYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?MentionsYesResolved$266¢0.0¢-$2
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?PoliticsNoResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 PlayoffseSportsFluxoResolved$162¢0.0¢-$1
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?PoliticsYesResolved$45.3¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Champions LeagueNoResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$324¢0.0¢-$3
Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House Press Briefing?MentionsYesResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $200?FinanceYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7PM ETCryptoUpResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" or "Gaza" 10+ times during Board of Peace events on February 19?MentionsNoResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?FinanceUpResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?World CupYesResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?FinanceUpResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Canada (-1.5)World CupCanadaResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?MentionsYesResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26?CryptoUpResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffseSportsDetonatioN FocusMeResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?PoliticsYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the earnings call not air?MentionsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Sport" during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$104.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?EconomyYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$55.1¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$184
World Cup-$183
Crypto-$25
Mentions-$21
Olympics+$17
Tech-$14
Soccer (other)-$10
NFL-$5
Finance-$5
eSports-$3
Economy-$3
Champions League-$2
Biggest hit
+$234
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Toughest beat
-$9
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13d ago
  • Sold No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$25d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$25d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$56d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$316d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$166d ago
  • Bought Yes · Argentina to score first vs. Spain?$146d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$26d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106d ago