← Whale Watch

noise126trader

Predicting since Mar 20252,740 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $2.8K riding on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.8K82¢95¢+$405
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.7K23¢27¢+$268
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$9053¢69¢+$26
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$3047¢99¢+$33
Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsNo$2853¢100¢+$25
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$3256¢91¢+$20
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$4994¢97¢+$1
Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2962¢100¢+$18
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$3056¢84¢+$15
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$2758¢94¢+$17
Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?MLBNo$3067¢100¢+$14
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$3069¢98¢+$13
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$2650¢80¢+$15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$1840¢89¢+$23
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$3174¢99¢+$10
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$3364¢78¢+$7
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?MLBNo$3464¢76¢+$6
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$2871¢100¢+$12
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$3061¢78¢+$8
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$3466¢76¢+$5
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?PoliticsNo$2963¢83¢+$9
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$1733¢71¢+$20
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?PoliticsNo$2777¢97¢+$7
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?MLBNo$2957¢67¢+$5
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?MLBNo$3092¢100¢+$3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2755¢67¢+$6
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2359¢84¢+$10
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$3075¢81¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$2877¢86¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$3070¢73¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$2973¢79¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$2774¢81¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$2877¢81¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$2891¢98¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?PoliticsNo$2868¢70¢+$1
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?EconomyNo$2775¢79¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?PoliticsNo$2676¢82¢+$2
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2690¢99¢+$3
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2467¢79¢+$4
Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?PoliticsNo$2793¢97¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$2792¢95¢+$1
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2691¢99¢+$2
Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2795¢99¢+$1
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?PoliticsNo$2862¢61¢-$0
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$1220¢47¢+$16
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$2792¢94¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$2792¢94¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$2892¢93¢+$0
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?NFLNo$2664¢69¢+$2
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2791¢94¢+$1
Will Corey Lewandowski win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2694¢99¢+$1
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsNo$2380¢97¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the IL-13 House seat?PoliticsNo$2793¢94¢+$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2690¢94¢+$1
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$2692¢98¢+$2
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$2690¢93¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?PoliticsNo$2694¢98¢+$1
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?PoliticsNo$2692¢96¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$2793¢94¢+$0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2792¢93¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$2686¢91¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$2793¢94¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$2694¢98¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$2694¢98¢+$1
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2687¢90¢+$1
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2692¢96¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?PoliticsNo$2876¢71¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$2693¢93¢+$0
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMANo$2791¢90¢-$0
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$2592¢98¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?PoliticsNo$2676¢76¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$2694¢94¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?PoliticsNo$2592¢96¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$2694¢94¢-$0
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?PoliticsNo$2873¢68¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?PoliticsNo$2768¢64¢-$2
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2692¢92¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$2676¢73¢-$1
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2690¢89¢-$0
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherNo$2058¢74¢+$5
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?MLBNo$2185¢99¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$3064¢53¢-$5
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$2774¢68¢-$2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2467¢69¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$2692¢87¢-$2
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$2990¢75¢-$5
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3159¢46¢-$7
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?CultureNo$2081¢96¢+$4
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$2293¢98¢+$1
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?PoliticsNo$2490¢86¢-$1
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?CultureNo$2079¢90¢+$3
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$2070¢80¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?PoliticsNo$1945¢54¢+$4
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLNo$2286¢89¢+$1
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$2977¢59¢-$7
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBNo$3454¢34¢-$12
Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsNo$1982¢96¢+$3
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2182¢84¢+$0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1989¢98¢+$2
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2095¢98¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$710
Mentions-$238
Crypto-$119
Culture-$58
Tech-$34
Hockey (other)-$32
eSports+$29
Weather+$21
Tennis-$21
Premier League-$20
MLB+$17
Formula 1+$17
Biggest hit
+$675
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Toughest beat
-$789
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$892d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?$913d ago