Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $50 | 9.1¢ | 11¢ | +$12 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $25 | 33¢ | 43¢ | +$8 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 25¢ | 4.0¢ | -$17 |
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $40 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $44 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Tech | YesResolved | $91 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?Politics | YesResolved | $543 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$543 |
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $100 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Ilia TopuriaResolved | $25 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $59 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $18 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $86 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $200 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $100 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $10 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |