 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $767 | 62¢ | 68¢ | +$70 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $751 | 54¢ | 34¢ | -$289 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $320 | 66¢ | 39¢ | -$131 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $134 | 57¢ | 63¢ | +$13 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 69¢ | 81¢ | +$20 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $102 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$6 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $393 | 12¢ | 2.8¢ | -$299 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Politics | No | $69 | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $67 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $55 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Politics | No | $64 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $58 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Politics | No | $58 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $65 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $54 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 71¢ | 66¢ | -$5 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $60 | 71¢ | 66¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Culture | No | $66 | 75¢ | 62¢ | -$12 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $59 | 70¢ | 63¢ | -$6 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 73¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | No | $58 | 70¢ | 57¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? Politics | No | $56 | 76¢ | 66¢ | -$8 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $48 | 56¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | No | $41 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | No | $39 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 77¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$5 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | No | $39 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?Culture | No | $33 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $41 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 74¢ | 60¢ | -$9 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $40 | 75¢ | 63¢ | -$6 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 71¢ | 59¢ | -$7 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $34 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | No | $29 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $19 | 56¢ | 74¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $29 | 77¢ | 59¢ | -$7 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $21 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $20 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $20 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $20 | 79¢ | 69¢ | -$3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Economy | No | $19 | 81¢ | 64¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?Politics | No | $13 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 79¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?Politics | No | $9 | 79¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 60¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 58¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 56¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 62¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Politics | No | $4 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $3 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $25 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?Tech | YesResolved | $115 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $109 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
| Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $43 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?NBA | NoResolved | $20 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas RangersMLB | NoResolved | $20 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 6?Crypto | NoResolved | $22 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $75 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other) | NoResolved | $20 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $40 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?NHL | NoResolved | $20 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | NoResolved | $70 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Other sports | NoResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | NoResolved | $20 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $168 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $11K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11K |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore OriolesMLB | NoResolved | $21 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $58 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Sold No · Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$59d ago
Sold No · Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$3010d ago