 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 64¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 47¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 26?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Boxing | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US strike Cuba next?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (October 27 - November 2)Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another Elon baby by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions League | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 French election called by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?MLB | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 27?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?La Liga | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$114h ago
Bought Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$114h ago
Cashed out Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$35d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$137d ago
Cashed out England · France vs. England: Team to Win$38d ago
Bought Yes · Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$19d ago