 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.2¢ | 100¢ | +$62 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $9 | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$34 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.8¢ | 99¢ | +$29 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 99¢ | +$29 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 99¢ | +$24 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.8¢ | 98¢ | +$28 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 86¢ | +$20 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 69¢ | +$19 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Economy | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 47¢ | +$13 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 56¢ | +$13 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 75¢ | +$11 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 49¢ | +$13 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 68¢ | +$10 |
 Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 38¢ | +$10 |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 71¢ | +$8 |
 Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$3 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 27¢ | +$4 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 42¢ | +$6 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 25¢ | +$3 |
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 48¢ | +$5 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 31¢ | +$4 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 37¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?Tech | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 17¢ | -$10 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 42¢ | +$3 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 26¢ | +$3 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 39¢ | +$3 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $30 | 50¢ | 6.4¢ | -$26 |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Finance | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 20¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.8¢ | 3.8¢ | -$0 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 8.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?Economy | Yes | $30 | 50¢ | 5.2¢ | -$27 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 9.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.7¢ | 4.7¢ | -$1 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B?Politics | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 8.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 6.3¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Politics | Yes | $8 | 6.7¢ | 2.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 7.6¢ | +$1 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 3.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 5.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 6.3¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 7.2¢ | -$1 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 4.3¢ | -$3 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ | 5.9¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% in June?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 5.8¢ | -$3 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.6% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.6% or more in June?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 5.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?Politics | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 4.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.8¢ | 1.6¢ | -$2 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 50¢ | 2.4¢ | -$29 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?Economy | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 4.6¢ | -$14 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B?Politics | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 4.6¢ | -$2 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 6.4¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 3.8¢ | 2.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?Politics | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 4.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 4.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $39 | 50¢ | 1.7¢ | -$38 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?Politics | Yes | $30 | 50¢ | 2.1¢ | -$29 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 3.8¢ | 1.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 14¢ | 2.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?Economy | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 6.9¢ | -$1 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.7¢ | 1.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 3.9¢ | -$14 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?Politics | Yes | $45 | 50¢ | 1.3¢ | -$44 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.8¢ | 3.8¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 11¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?Tech | YesResolved | $26 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Meta (META) close at $500-$510 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Meituan have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Noah Hanifin score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?NHL | YesResolved | $2 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $455-$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Sold Yes · Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$510d ago